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63% of Poles say Ukraine will be forced to cede part of its territory to Russia - poll

Poland

Most Polish citizens pessimistically assess the outcome of Russia’s war against Ukraine and believe Kyiv will be forced to cede part of its territory.

These are the findings of a CBOS poll, Polsat News reports, according to Censor.NET.

Poles’ views on Ukraine’s territorial integrity.

Pollsters stressed that the share of optimistic forecasts among Poles has never been this low.

A majority of respondents (63%) assume Ukraine will be forced to give up part of its territory (up 3 percentage points compared to September).

Poll results

CBOS noted that the share of Polish citizens who believe Russia will subjugate all of Ukraine has increased (8%, up 3 points). According to the pollsters, since the start of the war this option was rarely chosen, usually by 2% to 4% of respondents.

  • Only 6% of Polish respondents believe Russia will withdraw its troops from the territories it invaded in 2022, and 2% believe it will also withdraw them from the territories seized in 2014.

The poll was conducted from November 27 to December 8, 2025, on a sample of 948 people.