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Russia plans to allocate 13 trillion rubles annually to defense from 2026 to 2028, reflecting a continuous rise in military spending. This substantial allocation, amid global conflicts, underscores the state's prioritization of military strength over economic stability. Meanwhile, state support for small businesses has significantly declined, with resources redirected towards the war effort. The introduction of the "digital ruble" aims to bolster control over the population, reshaping the financial landscape for state employees by 2026. Additionally, there are concerted efforts to mask the economic downturn as reserves dwindle, exposing the vulnerability of the Russian economy. As labor shortages deepen, concerns about the country's future trajectory intensify.

What is the state of the Russian economy in terms of military spending?

Russia is set to allocate 13 trillion rubles annually to defense from 2026 to 2028. This consistent focus on military investment reflects a prioritization of defense over other economic sectors, highlighting strategic interests despite existing economic challenges.

How is the economic downturn affecting small businesses in Russia?

The economic downturn has led to significant cuts in state support for small businesses, which saw reductions by nearly half in early 2025. The redirection of resources towards military spending exacerbates the challenges faced by these enterprises, affecting their sustainability and growth prospects.

What is the digital ruble and how will it impact Russian employees?

The digital ruble, set for implementation in 2026, represents a digital currency aiming to enhance governmental control over financial transactions. State employees will receive salaries in digital rubles, signaling a shift towards increased financial oversight and regulation within the country.

What are the reasons behind the Russian economic hardship?

The economic difficulties in Russia are primarily driven by extensive military spending, strategic resource reallocation, and the hidden depths of the economic downturn. These factors, coupled with declining reserves, present a formidable challenge, underscoring the need for comprehensive economic reform.

How has the labor market in Russia been affected by the ongoing war?

The prolonged conflict has resulted in an unprecedented labor crisis, with a record shortage of 2.6 million workers in 2024. This deficiency signifies a 17% increase from the previous year, further complicating Russia's economic resilience and workforce stability amidst ongoing tensions.

How is the Kremlin handling economic reporting during this crisis?

The Kremlin has been reportedly obscuring the extensive economic downturn, utilizing remaining reserves to maintain an appearance of stability. This strategic obfuscation seeks to downplay the economic adversity faced by the nation while maintaining domestic and international confidence in the regime's capabilities.

What is the broader socio-political impact of the economic situation in Russia?

The economic decline has sparked significant political criticism, with claims that governmental policies are steering the nation towards further degradation. This socio-political crisis reflects dwindling confidence in political leadership and amplifies calls for strategic economic and political reforms.

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