ISW

Russian troops are preparing for third massive assault on Avdiivka, - ISW Currently, Russian troops are preparing for the "third series of major assaults near Avdiivka" and "the third massive assault on Avdiivka". 04.11.23 09:28 4 839 11 Previously in trend: War

Russian troops are preparing for new wave of attacks near Avdiivka, - ISW Near Avdiivka, the Russian army, despite heavy losses in equipment and manpower, is preparing for a new wave of attacks. 02.11.23 06:19 7 037 20 Previously in trend: War

Ukrainian troops advanced near Bakhmut behind railway line, - ISW Geo-location footage shows that the Ukrainian armed forces are making progress near Bakhmut and in the west of the Zaporizhzhia region. 30.10.23 06:15 11 030 7 Previously in trend: War

Former Wagnerians are being recruited to Chechen units, - ISW The Russian Guard is recruiting former fighters of the private military company "Wagner" to the Chechen units of the "Akhmat" special forces. 29.10.23 08:49 2 838 15 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

Forced militarization of Ukrainian children continues in occupied territories, - ISW Russian occupation administrations continue the forced militarization of Ukrainian children living in non-government-controlled territories. 26.10.23 09:25 2 930 7 War in Ukraine

More than 100 units of equipment have already been lost by Russians near Avdiivka - ISW In 10 days, from October 10 to 20, Russian troops lost more than 109 units of military equipment near Avdiivka. 26.10.23 08:00 4 589 12 War in Ukraine

Russians used new long-range Italmas drones first time, - ISW During the drone attack on the Kyiv region, the Russian invaders used new long-range Italmas drones and their derivatives for the first time in Ukraine. 25.10.23 06:49 28 601 76 War in Ukraine

Russians send new waves of personnel and equipment for offensive in Avdiivka area, despite heavy losses, - ISW The Russian command considers Avdiyivka and its surroundings a potential destination for a new Russian offensive along with offensive operations along the border of the Kharkiv and Luhansk regions. 22.10.23 09:10 9 387 15 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

Russian troops face number of serious problems when attacking Avdiivka, - ISW From the reports of a number of military bloggers, it can be concluded that the Russian Federation is facing a number of serious problems during the offensive on Avdiivka. 15.10.23 08:16 9 755 24 War in Ukraine

Russian troops are preparing for defense on left bank of Kherson region and in Crimea, - ISW The occupiers are worried about a possible attempt by the Armed Forces to cross the Dnipro River. The Rashists are actively setting up advanced positions, mining and building engineering fortifications on the left bank of the Dnipro, and forming new units from mobilized units in the Crimean direction. 14.10.23 09:42 3 838 13 Previously in trend: War

Battles near Bakhmut allowed Ukraine to draw back Russian forces that could defend themselves in Zaporizhzhia region, - ISW The Ukrainian command made the right choice when it decided to defend Bakhmut to the last. The continuous combat operations of Ukrainian forces in Bakhmut successfully neutralized a significant part of the Russian Airborne Forces and, thus, increased Ukraine’s chances of operational success on the southern front. 18.09.23 08:29 2 728 5 Previously in trend: War

AFU are approaching next line of defense of Russians in south, - ISW The defence forces have made further tactically significant gains in the western part of Zaporizhzhia region, and are likely to advance through the most difficult series of defensive positions of the Russian occupiers. 27.08.23 07:50 18 839 31 Previously in trend: War

Armed Forces of Ukraine have established themselves on left bank of Kherson region. However, it should not be considered springboard for offensive, - ISW The Ukrainian military managed to gain a foothold on the left bank of the Dnieper, currently occupied by the Russians. At the same time, the experts noted that it is not worth considering this as a springboard for a further attack on the enemy. 13.08.23 08:53 8 072 14 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

General Staff does not confirm crossing of Dnipro and landing of AFU on left bank in Kherson region, - Maliar The General Staff has not yet confirmed the information about the crossing of the Dnipro River by the Defence Forces and the landing of Ukrainian defenders on the left bank in the Kherson region. 09.08.23 11:52 6 467 14 Previously in trend: War

Armed Forces of Ukraine carried out limited raid across Dnipro and landed on left bank of Kherson region, - ISW Ukrainian troops raided the left bank of the Dnipro River in the Kherson region and allegedly broke through the defences 800 metres deep and returned 09.08.23 06:44 19 811 62 Previously in trend: War

Russia is trying to actually block Ukrainian ports, without introducing blockade officially, - ISW The Kremlin does not want to spend its forces on a real blockade of Ukrainian ports, so it takes an ambiguous position to restrain shipping in the region. 29.07.23 11:01 3 011 39 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Shoigu is trying to present Ukrainian counteroffensive as failed operation against background of NATO summit, - ISW Russian Defense Minister Serhii Shoigu is trying to present the Ukrainian counteroffensive as a failed operation, despite the Kremlin’s instructions not to downplay the results of the counteroffensive and not to exaggerate Russian successes, to position the Ministry of Defense headed by him as an effective leader of combat operations in Ukraine after the failed mutiny of the "Wagner" PMC. 12.07.23 07:07 8 268 40 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

Defense forces achieved tactically significant successes in Bakhmut area, - ISW On 7 July, Ukrainian Armed Forces units achieved tactically significant successes near Bakhmut in the Donetsk region and continued counter-offensive operations in at least three other areas of the frontline. 08.07.23 07:24 8 155 16 Previously in trend: War

Most likely, further fate of "Wagner" PMC will not be connected with Prigozhin, - ISW Most likely, the further fate of the "Wagner" PMC will not be connected with Yevgeny Prigozhin. The PMC will either be divided into units that are scattered across various military units of the Russian Federation, or they will retain the existing structure, but with the subordination of the PEC of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation. 06.07.23 18:25 1 583 6 Previously in trend: Prigozhin's uprising

For two weeks, Russians have not been able to knock out group of 70 soldiers of Armed Forces of Ukraine from under Antonivsky bridge, - ISW The Russian military has been unable to dislodge a small group of Ukrainian soldiers from their fortified positions under the eastern span of the Antonivsky Bridge for almost two weeks. 01.07.23 11:23 32 676 82 Previously in trend: War

ISW assessed probability of terrorist attack on ZNPP and named scenarios that occupiers may resort to The Russians are unlikely to deliberately create an accident at Zaporizhzhia NPP, as they will not be able to control its consequences. However, the experience with the Kakhovka HPP shows that the occupiers may resort to such a terrorist attack. 01.07.23 07:29 13 176 23 Previously in trend: War

Kremlin is unlikely to support Prigozhin, uprising will not be successful, - ISW The founder of the "Wagner" PMC, Yevgeny Prigozhin, has launched an armed uprising in an attempt to escape and change the leadership of the Russian Defence Ministry. But the Kremlin is unlikely to support him. 24.06.23 09:02 23 379 124 Previously in trend: Prigozhin's uprising

Offensive operations of Defense Forces create conditions for broader counteroffensive, - ISW Ukraine’s defence forces have been successful in continuing counter-offensive operations on a number of fronts. This is likely to create conditions for broader Ukrainian counter-offensive goals. 16.06.23 06:23 6 997 4 Previously in trend: War

AFU achieved local success in Zaporizhzhia region - ISW During counterattacks southwest and southeast of Orikhiv, Zaporizhzhia region, Ukrainian forces achieved localised success, according to geolocation footage from 10 June 11.06.23 07:43 23 504 24 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

AFU are conducting counteroffensive in four directions, - ISW The defence forces continue to advance near Bakhmut and have made some progress in the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions. 10.06.23 10:38 19 097 35 Previously in trend: War

Troops of Russian Federation are interested in blowing up Kakhovka HPP, - ISW The balance of evidence, arguments and rhetoric indicates that Russia deliberately damaged the hydroelectric power station. 07.06.23 07:02 17 363 57 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russian authorities do not know how to react to situation in Belgorod region, - ISW Another raid by the Russian Volunteer Corps (RVC) and the Legion of Freedom of Russia (LFR) shows that the Kremlin does not understand how to respond to the situation. In addition, this has caused chaos in the Russian information space, and criticism of the Russian authorities is growing. 05.06.23 06:39 15 754 47 War in Ukraine

Prigozhin promises to send his mercenaries to Belgorod region without permission of Ministry of Defense of Russian Federation, because he considers Belgorod-Ukrainian border to be fairly easy front line for defense, - ISW Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of the "Wagner" PMC, said that he is ready to send his mercenaries to the Belgorod region even without the permission of the Russian military command. This may be motivated by a desire for PR, as well as to send forces to a region with relatively less fighting. 04.06.23 09:52 5 019 38 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

There is no invasion of Belgorod region by Ukraine, there are raids - ISW The Russian Defense Ministry said that the military had prevented an attack on the Belgorod direction from Ukraine. However, ISW analysts point out that military doctrine defines such actions as raids 02.06.23 07:38 7 786 19 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

With statements about readiness for negotiations, Russian Federation is trying to weaken Western support for Ukraine, - ISW Spreading public statements about readiness for negotiations with Ukraine, the Russian Federation is once again carrying out an information operation aimed at weakening Ukraine’s support for the West. 28.05.23 15:24 3 656 17 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

"RVC" and Legion "Freedom of Russia" continue operation in Belgorod region, - ISW Units of the Russian Volunteer Corps (RVC) and the Legion of Freedom of Russia (LSR), which launched an operation in the Belgorod region, could have moved closer to the border with Ukraine after a military clash with Russian troops. 24.05.23 07:13 31 037 72 World

Russians in area of Bakhmut found themselves in dangerous situation, - ISW The Russian armed forces, having taken Bakhmut, found themselves in a dangerous situation there, but Russian propaganda and military bloggers hardly talk about it, instead celebrating the victory. 23.05.23 06:58 31 432 75 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

Capture of Bakhmut on Russian TV is shown almost like capture of Berlin, - ISW Russia’s reaction to the alleged capture of Bakhmut shows a growing disconnect between the Kremlin’s internal presentation of the war and the coverage of Russian operations in Ukraine by the military blogging community. 22.05.23 08:58 13 818 46 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

Without losses, Wagnerians will not be able to move away from Bahmut, - ISW Fighters of the "Wagner" PMC are in direct contact with Ukrainian troops. Therefore, they will not be able to leave Bakhmut without losses. 21.05.23 08:04 11 936 36 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

AFU intercepted tactical initiative in Bakhmut area, - ISW Ukrainian troops seized the tactical initiative and achieved tactically significant successes in the area of Bakhmut during counter-offensive operations on 18 May. 19.05.23 06:20 16 540 36 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

Russian troops are losing initiative in Bakhmut area, - ISW Despite the limited nature of Ukrainian counterattacks, Russian troops are losing the initiative in the Bakhmut area. 18.05.23 06:16 6 048 10 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

Russian army is trying to strengthen offensive operations in Bakhmut region, - ISW Russia is intensifying its tactical offensive actions in the Bakhmut area, despite the fact that Ukraine has apparently focused on local counterattacks there. 17.05.23 06:16 4 923 9 War in Ukraine

Russian Federation is conducting new air campaign aimed at weakening Ukraine’s ability to carry out counteroffensive operations, - ISW The increasingly regular series of Russian drone and missile strikes are believed to be part of a new Russian air campaign aimed at weakening Ukraine’s ability to conduct counteroffensive operations in the near term. 15.05.23 06:16 11 353 8 War in Ukraine

Russian units that escaped from Bakhmut have already been defeated twice in Kharkiv and Kherson regions, - ISW The 72nd Separate Motorised Rifle Brigade of the Russian Federation, whose units were defeated near Bakhmut by Ukrainian defenders from the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, had previously suffered two crushing defeats in Kharkiv and Kherson regions. 11.05.23 06:23 9 092 21 War in Ukraine

Instead of capturing Bakhmut, Russians are now preparing for counteroffensive of AFU, - ISW The priorities of the Russian Ministry of Defence have changed. Now, the main thing for the Russians is not the capture of Bakhmut, but preparations for a counter-offensive by the Defence Forces. 06.05.23 07:24 13 727 21 Previously in trend: War

Ukrainian forces took positions on left bank of Kherson region, - ISW Russian "militants" have provided enough geographically bound video footage and text messages that confirm that Ukrainian forces have taken up positions on the eastern bank of the Kherson region. 23.04.23 06:20 50 607 139 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

Russian Federation used new batch of "Shaheds" during latest attacks on Ukraine, - ISW For the latest attacks on Ukraine, the Russians used a new batch of Iranian Shahed-136/131 drones. 22.04.23 09:06 2 530 2 Previously in trend: War

Prigozhin probably found allies in Ministry of Defense of Russian Federation, who support freezing war in Ukraine, - ISW Yevgeny Prigozhin calls on the Kremlin to end the so-called "SMO" and focus on entrenching Russian forces in the occupied territories, which may indicate that the founder of PMC "Wagner" has found allies in the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation who support a temporary freeze on the war in Ukraine. 22.04.23 06:50 9 292 25 World

Prigozhin hopes to profit from Russia’s defeat in Ukraine, - ISW The owner of the "Wagner" terrorist group, Yevgeny Prigozhin, believes that the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces will be successful, so he is preparing to take advantage of its consequences. 15.04.23 17:08 11 428 22 World

Offensive potential of Russian military is decreasing, - ISW The Russian occupiers are fighting all along the front line, but their offensive potential continues to decline. 09.04.23 08:31 3 145 6 Previously in trend: War

Armed Forces successfully counterattacked Russians near Avdiivka, - ISW Defenders of Ukraine conducted a successful counterattack near Avdiivka in Donetsk region, advancing close to the settlement. 05.04.23 14:30 15 888 10 Previously in trend: War

Russians have captured administration of Bakhmut and are advancing into center of city, - ISW Russian mercenaries from PMC "Wagner" seized the building of the city administration of Bakhmut. They are advancing towards the center of the city. 04.04.23 08:53 22 874 79 Previously in trend: War

Putin is trying to form anti-Western coalition at UN. China will not join, - ISW The new concept of Russian foreign policy, approved by Putin, is aimed at creating a potential anti-Western coalition. But he could not convince China to join this association. 01.04.23 09:39 5 524 21 World