ISW

Russia’s infospace reacts "with considerable concern" to possible counteroffensive of Ukraine, - ISW Famous persons in the Russian information space are increasingly creating informational excuses about the preparation for a possible Ukrainian counteroffensive. 25.03.23 06:15 6 690 11 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

Russians do not stop trying to capture city of Vuhledar in Donetsk region, - ISW The Russians are trying to capture Vuhledar despite significant losses in manpower and equipment. During the invasion, the elite 155th brigade of the Russian marines was destroyed and rebuilt 8 times 25.03.23 06:55 3 455 4 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Pace of Russian operations around Bakhmut is slowing down, and in Avdiivka area they have intensified, - ISW The pace of Russian operations around Bakhmut is slowing down, instead, Russian troops are probably trying to launch an offensive in other directions, in particular in the Avdiivka area. 23.03.23 06:16 3 718 11 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

ISW: Putin failed to agree with Xi Jinping on desired partnership According to the results of the negotiations with the President of the People’s Republic of China, Xi Jinping in Moscow, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin was unable to secure the closer bilateral partnership with China that he could have hoped for. 22.03.23 09:11 12 856 22 World

Offensive of Russian Federation is approaching its climax, - ISW American analysts suggest that Russia’s offensive in Donbas may be approaching its climax, and Ukraine has the opportunity to seize the initiative and launch a counteroffensive. 20.03.23 06:55 23 666 32 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russian troops have reduced overall pace of operations in Ukraine, - ISW American analysts have concluded that Russian troops have reduced the pace of their operations on the front in Ukraine compared to previous weeks. 16.03.23 06:16 5 998 12 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Putin is losing control over Russian information space, internal struggle is going on in Kremlin - ISW An internal confrontation is taking place between key members of Russian dictator Vladimir Putin’s inner circle. 12.03.23 06:48 18 652 63 Previously in trend: War

Failures of Russian troops in Donbas create favorable conditions for counteroffensive of Armed Forces, - ISW The rapid culmination of the offensive of the invaders near Bakhmut, the attempt to storm Vuhledar and the offensive of the Russian Federation troops in the Luhansk region, which has stopped, probably create favorable conditions for Ukrainian counteroffensive operations. 06.03.23 07:32 7 316 11 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Military of Iran takes direct part in attacks of Russian Federation on civilian objects of Ukraine, - ISW Moscow continues to use its relations with Tehran to provide military support to Ukraine. Iranian personnel directly help attack civilian infrastructure in Ukraine. 14.02.23 08:31 13 809 30 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Flights of Russian missiles over Romania are unlikely to increase escalation between NATO and Russian Federation, - ISW The flights of Russian missiles over Romania are unlikely to provoke an escalation between Russia and NATO countries. 11.02.23 07:21 8 644 78 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russian offensive has begun in Luhansk region, but Ukrainian forces are preventing enemy from making significant progress, - ISW The pace of Russian operations along the Svatove-Kreminna line in the west of the Luhansk region has increased over the past week. 09.02.23 06:30 22 886 24 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russia is in hurry to organize new offensive in time for arrival of Western military aid in Ukraine, - ISW The military command of the Russian Federation is in a hurry with a new large-scale offensive in order to carry it out before Ukraine receives Western heavy equipment. 07.02.23 10:35 6 010 23 Previously in trend: War

Due to ineffective sanctions, Kremlin managed to provide UAV production plant with parts, - ISW The ineffectiveness of Western sanctions against Iran and the Russian Federation probably contributed to the fact that the Kremlin was able to purchase components for attack drones in the United States. 07.02.23 07:20 18 160 74 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Putin overestimated capabilities of Russian army, occupiers will not be able to capture Donbas until March, - ISW Russian President Vladimir Putin once again overestimated the capabilities of the Russian armed forces. Analysts found no evidence that the occupiers had regained sufficient combat power. 03.02.23 07:26 7 470 18 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russia is creating conditions for offensive to begin in coming months, - ISW Russia is creating conditions for the start of offensive actions in the coming months. Probably, this scenario will be deployed in the Luhansk region. 31.01.23 06:45 12 897 15 Previously in trend: War

Delays in supply of tanks may prevent Ukraine’s counteroffensive in winter, - ISW Delays in the supply of tanks and armored personnel carriers could cost Ukraine its ability to counter-offensive this winter. Russian forces are preparing to launch their offensive in the Luhansk region and are intensifying their operations in the Bakhmut region. 30.01.23 07:10 10 416 59 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Capture of Soledar will not provide occupiers with the encirclement of Bakhmut, - ISW The capture of Soledar does not lead Russian troops to the main logistical routes and does not guarantee the occupiers the encirclement of Bakhmut. 27.01.23 16:43 5 978 3 Previously in trend: War

Information about Russian offensive on Vuhledar is attempt to create positive narrative to cover failures in Bakhmut direction, - ISW The Russians said that they allegedly started an attack on Vuhledar. However, this is probably an attempt to launch a positive narrative, since they have no success in the Bakhmut direction. 25.01.23 10:04 3 803 9 Previously in trend: War

Providing tanks to Ukraine by Western countries will help defeat Russian army and liberate Ukrainian territories, - ISW Modern main battle tanks, which the NATO coalition will send to Ukraine, will allow the Armed Forces of Ukraine to defeat Russian troops and liberate Ukrainian territory. 25.01.23 06:29 5 140 28 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Ukrainian forces are effectively restraining Russian troops in Bakhmut region, which prevents Russian Federation from conducting offensive actions in other directions, - ISW American analysts believe that the defense of Bakhmut is a strategically correct operation, despite the price that Ukraine pays. 22.01.23 07:15 4 852 25 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Prigozhin began series of information operations to oppose himself to Russian authorities, - ISW Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of the "Wagner" PMC, began a series of information operations aimed at portraying himself as a hero of Russia in a "crusade" against the petty and corrupt Russian government. 22.01.23 08:01 11 002 59 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Confrontation between Ministry of Defense of Russian Federation and PMC "Wagner" is intensifying, - ISW US intelligence confirmed the conclusion of ISW experts that the confrontation between the Ministry of Defense of Russia and PMC "Wagner" is intensifying. 21.01.23 08:32 7 504 38 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

In near future, Putin may announce second wave of mobilization in Russian Federation, - ISW American analysts believe that Russian President Vladimir Putin may announce a second wave of mobilization in Russia in the coming days, and perhaps even on January 18. 18.01.23 06:29 8 698 18 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Last day, main battles took place on line Svatove - Kreminna and near Bakhmut, - ISW On Monday, Russian and Ukrainian troops continued their offensive on the Svatove-Kreminna line in the Luhansk region. 27.12.22 10:05 3 103 1 Previously in trend: War

Putin did not offer to negotiate with Ukraine, - ISW Russian dictator Vladimir Putin did not offer to hold talks with Ukraine on December 25, contrary to some reports. 27.12.22 09:46 13 293 17 Previously in trend: War

Russian troops slow down offensive near Bakhmut, - ISW The advance of Russian troops in the area of Bakhmut has slowed down in recent days. Russian troops have admitted that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have pushed back the Wagner group to the positions they held a few days ago. 25.12.22 06:38 15 308 22 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Putin began appearing more often in public to improve his own image, which has been worsened by failures of the Russian army in Ukraine, - ISW Russian President Vladimir Putin’s resumption of public speaking probably indicates that he has become more concerned about his popularity and image in Russia. 24.12.22 07:39 3 291 23 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

During his visit to Minsk, Putin will put pressure on Lukashenko and create conditions for new attack on Ukraine, - ISW Russian President Vladimir Putin intends to put pressure on Alexander Lukashenko, who seized power in Belarus, in order to achieve concessions on the integration of the two countries during his visit to Minsk, as well as to create conditions for a new offensive on Ukraine. 17.12.22 08:11 10 439 52 Previously in trend: War

Ukraine and USA adjust capabilities of offensive operations of AFU in winter, - ISW Senior US government officials may be adjusting their assessments of Ukraine’s ability to launch counterattacks this winter. 13.12.22 08:45 5 288 6 Previously in trend: War

Belarus is unlikely to invade Ukraine, - ISW The invasion of the Belarusian army into Ukraine is extremely unlikely. 12.12.22 06:25 12 128 23 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Putin is trying to mislead West by talking about different goals in Ukraine, - ISW The Kremlin probably hasn’t given up on its maximalist goals in Ukraine, despite Kremlin spokesman Dmytro Peskov admitting for the first time that Moscow’s current territorial goal is to fully seize the four partially occupied regions of Ukraine. 09.12.22 06:25 10 813 15 Previously in trend: War

Putin is creating conditions for protracted war of aggression in Ukraine, - ISW American analysts are convinced that Russian President Vladimir Putin is creating the conditions for a protracted war of aggression in Ukraine. 08.12.22 06:40 18 915 85 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Pace of offensive operations in east of Ukraine will increase in coming weeks, - ISW American analysts are convinced that the overall pace of military operations in eastern Ukraine is likely to increase in the coming weeks. 04.12.22 06:52 18 551 22 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Armed Forces of Ukraine can gain foothold on Kinburn spit and continue counteroffensive from there in Kherson region, - ISW Russian defensive positions indicate that the occupiers perceive the prospect of a Ukrainian counteroffensive across the Dnipro River as a serious threat. 28.11.22 06:23 12 427 17 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Kremlin is creating informational prerequisites for attack under foreign flag on Belgorod region, - ISW The Kremlin is creating informational prerequisites for an attack under a foreign flag in the Belgorod region of Russia. 23.11.22 06:39 11 981 23 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

De-occupation of Kinburn Spit will allow Armed Forces of Ukraine to potentially cross over to left bank of the Dnipro, - ISW The Armed Forces of Ukraine are fighting for the Kinburn spit in conditions of information silence. The Russian occupiers used it for missile and artillery strikes. 22.11.22 07:49 9 934 12 Previously in trend: War

Mobilization in Russia has not stopped, another wave is being prepared, - ISW American analysts believe that Russia is preparing another wave of mobilization, which will worsen the overall quality of Russian troops who are being sent to the front in Ukraine. 19.11.22 06:12 10 538 19 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War Mobilization in Russian Federation

Russia planned large-scale missile attack on Ukraine in anticipation of Zelensky’s speech at G20, - ISW The Kremlin prepared a massive November 15 missile strike on Ukraine before President Volodymyr Zelensky presented his 10-point peace proposal at the G20 summit. 16.11.22 08:01 9 293 30 Previously in trend: War

Russian Federation is transferring troops from Kherson region to Donetsk direction, - ISW Russian troops are likely to transfer troops to the Donetsk region after leaving the right bank of the Kherson region, in order to intensify operations around Bakhmut, Donetsk, and in the west of the Donetsk region. 15.11.22 06:28 10 240 20 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

AFU should continue counteroffensive, taking advantage of Putin’s mistake, - ISW The AFU should take advantage of the mistake of the president of the aggressor country, Vladimir Putin, who "drives" his troops to conduct offensive actions, analysts of the Institute for the Study of War believe. 14.11.22 09:59 18 009 28 Previously in trend: War

Russian Federation may intensify its offensive in Donetsk region after defeat in Kherson region, - ISW Russian offensive operations in Donetsk region will intensify in the coming weeks, as additional mobilized military personnel will arrive there, as well as forces withdrawn from the western part of Kherson region. 14.11.22 06:28 5 648 10 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Armed Forces of Ukraine have initiative and are in process of securing great victory in Kherson region, - ISW The great Ukrainian victory ongoing in the Kherson region will not be the last. 11.11.22 06:48 10 730 10 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russian army has exhausted arsenal of high-precision weapons and fleet of combat aircraft for attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure, - ISW The Russian occupying forces have significantly depleted their arsenal of precision weapons systems and suffered significant aviation losses, after which they will probably find it difficult to maintain the pace of attacks on critical infrastructure of Ukraine. 08.11.22 10:20 4 917 8 Previously in trend: War

A repeat offensive from Belarus is unlikely, - ISW A repeated Russian attack on Ukraine from Belarus is unlikely. Because currently there are few forces on Belarusian territory that could carry out an invasion. 05.11.22 09:58 3 350 4 Previously in trend: War

Russian army reduced pace of offensive near Bakhmut after strike of AFU, - ISW Russian forces reduced the pace of their offensive operations near Bakhmut on October 29. 30.10.22 08:01 24 316 51 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Attack on Black Sea frigate near Sevastopol could have been carried out by Ukraine, it would have been restrained response to large-scale bombing of civilian objects by Russia, - ISW The attack on the "Gryhorovych" class frigate of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation near Sevastopol was probably carried out by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. However, this is only a restrained response to the bombing of Ukrainian cities. 30.10.22 06:38 30 923 108 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russian Federation is trying to force Ukraine to invest more in infrastructure protection than in counteroffensive - ISW The Russians are trying to weaken Ukraine’s will to fight and force the Ukrainian government to use additional resources to protect civilians and energy infrastructure, instead of directing them to a counteroffensive in the east and south. 23.10.22 06:31 6 386 14 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russian occupiers will almost certainly accuse Ukraine of undermining Kakhovka HPP dam, - ISW The Russian occupiers will try to blow up the dam of the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (HPP) and blame Ukraine for the blow-up. 22.10.22 06:40 15 602 48 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War