ISW

Russia plans to increase defense spending by $30 billion next year and is trying to hide it from population - ISW In 2025, the Russian government plans to increase defence spending. However, the government is trying to focus on the planned social spending and avoid the topic of increased defence spending. 30.09.24 09:43 5 376 38

Attacks on ammunition and missile depots will weaken Russian logistics - ISW Strikes by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on rear logistics facilities in Russia could significantly increase operational pressure on the Russian military. 19.09.24 08:27 3 490 9 Previously in trend: War

Russian Federation began to redeploy more experienced combat units to Kursk region - ISW The Russian authorities have deployed additional units of the 106th Airborne Division in the Kursk region and may begin redeploying more experienced combat units to support their current counterattacks and future counteroffensive operations against Ukrainian forces on Russian territory. 13.09.24 09:27 4 859 24

Russian army intensified its attack on Vuhledar. Pace will not slow down quickly - ISW The Russian military is planning to capture Kurakhove and Vuhledar to "stretch" the Ukrainian Armed Forces. 06.09.24 08:28 2 883 0 Previously in trend: War

Occupants advance in Kharkiv and Donetsk regions - ISW Analysts have recorded the advance of Russian invaders in the area of Hlyboke, southeast of Kupyansk and Pokrovsk, and southwest of Donetsk. 02.09.24 08:35 8 058 4 Previously in trend: War

Russian army tries to encircle Ukrainian defenders in Pokrovsk direction - ISW As part of the offensive to capture Pokrovsk, the Russian army is currently conducting two tactical operations. The occupiers are trying to  encircle Ukrainian positions between Myrnohrad and Hrodivka. 30.08.24 07:59 7 796 22

Significant number of Russian military targets remain within range of Storm Shadow and ATACMS missiles - ISW Despite Russia's withdrawal of aircraft beyond the range of the Storm Shadow and ATACMS missiles provided by the West, a significant number of Russian military facilities remain within the reach of Western weapons. 29.08.24 08:28 2 016 5

Russian troops failed to encircle Ukrainian forces in Pokrovsk sector - ISW Russia's advance in the Pokrovsk sector may have prompted the Ukrainian Defence Forces to retreat from some positions southeast of Pokrovsk, so Russian troops were unable to achieve their likely goal of tactically encircling Ukrainian forces in the area. 23.08.24 08:17 7 969 10 Previously in trend: War

Occupants advance in Pokrovsk direction - ISW Russian invaders continue to advance north of Novoselivka Persha and northwest of Zhelanne in the Pokrovsk sector. Recently, they also made a small advance north of Kharkiv, near the eastern shore of the Travianske reservoir, Hlyboke and Lukiantsi. 15.08.24 08:10 6 406 9

Tactical advance of Russian army is recorded in Toretsk sector. - ISW The Russian invaders continue their offensive towards Chasiv Yar in Donetsk region and have made a significant tactical advance in the Toretsk sector. 06.08.24 09:18 5 293 20

Occupants advance near Svatove, Chasiv Yar, strengthen positions near Klishchiivka - ISW Over the past day, fighting continued near Hlyboke, Vovchansk and Tykhe. The occupiers also recently advanced southwest of Svatove. 02.08.24 08:15 5 014 5 Previously in trend: War

Russian troops continue their offensive on Chasiv Yar and have made some progress: There are virtually no surviving residential buildings in town Russian occupation forces have advanced east of the town of Chasiv Yar in Donetsk region. 01.04.24 12:29 17 093 71 Previously in trend: War

"Wagnerians" continues to train security forces in Belarus - ISW In December 2023, Wagner Group personnel continued to train the military and special forces in Belarus. Russia is increasing its military presence in this country. 10.01.24 09:44 907 2

Russia has not changed its goals regarding Ukraine and is not interested in honest negotiations, - ISW Russia is seeking a temporary cease-fire in order to build up its forces, restore the army, and in the future continue aggression at an even greater pace. 28.12.23 09:22 2 700 26 Previously in trend: War

Russian army has allegedly captured positions in Zaporizhzhia region, which Ukrainians repelled during summer counteroffensive, - ISW Russian troops have recently advanced in the west of the Zaporizhzhia region. Ukrainian forces withdrew to more defensible positions near Robotyne for the winter. 28.12.23 07:43 19 727 28

Putin is not interested in truce with Ukraine and is trying to disrupt military aid, - ISW Although Russian President Vladimir Putin reports an apparent interest in a ceasefire, such rhetoric is in the interests of the Russian Federation and is aimed at delaying and preventing further Western military aid to Ukraine. 24.12.23 10:33 15 304 122 Previously in trend: War

Russian Army will intensify its offensive in early 2024 - ISW In January-February 2024, weather conditions will become more favourable for the movement of armoured vehicles, making it easier for the occupiers to conduct offensive operations. 22.12.23 06:45 15 888 34 Previously in trend: War

Troops of Russian Federation in Kherson region are experiencing shortage of equipment for evacuating wounded, "losses are skyrocketing", - ISW The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation experience a large shortage of equipment, which is why they have problems with the evacuation of the wounded in the Kherson region. 20.12.23 07:57 4 636 9

Russian army makes insignificant advances on five directions - ISW Advances of Russian invaders were recorded near Kupiansk, Bakhmut, Avdiivka, Novomykhailivka in Donetsk region and Novoprokopivka in Zaporizhzhia. 20.12.23 06:56 11 676 19

Lack of ammunition at front and delays in Western aid are already forcing AFU to save resources, this may affect upcoming counter-offensive operations of Ukraine, - ISW The lack of artillery ammunition, combined with delays in providing security aid from the West, probably already forces the Armed Forces to save weapons and may delay future Ukrainian counteroffensive operations at the front. 19.12.23 09:38 3 209 25 Previously in trend: War

Russian army continues its offensive in Avdiivka direction and has successes in Stepove area - ISW Russian troops continued offensive operations in the Avdiivka sector on 14 December, making confirmed advances. 15.12.23 08:52 18 172 53

Russians have minor advances around Avdiivka, - ISW Russian troops continued their offensive near Avdiivka on 13 December and made confirmed advances. 14.12.23 06:59 5 875 18 Previously in trend: War

Russia may use civilian vessels to transport weapons across Black Sea - ISW According to Article 19 of the Montreux Convention, Turkey has not allowed warships to pass through the Bosphorus and Dardanelles straits since 28 February 2022. 12.12.23 14:57 2 176 18

Russian army seeks to take initiative on battlefield before Russian elections in March, - ISW The Russian invaders intensified their offensive in several areas of the front despite difficult weather conditions. They seek to seize and hold the initiative until the presidential elections in Russia in March 2024. 10.12.23 07:59 3 187 13

Putin wants to seize Avdiivka and Kupiansk before presidential elections in Russian Federation, - ISW The enemy army received the task of capturing Avdiivka in the Donetsk region and Kupiansk in the Kharkiv region before the presidential elections in the Russian Federation, which will take place in March 2024. 09.12.23 11:17 7 451 38

Occupiers advanced to treatment facilities of Avdiivka, - ISW On 8 December, Russian troops conducted offensive operations near Avdiivka, Donetsk region. 09.12.23 08:23 28 705 37 Previously in trend: War

Russian army advanced in industrial zone near Avdiivka, - ISW On 6 December, the Russian occupation forces conducted offensive operations near Avdiivka and achieved a small success in the city’s industrial area. 07.12.23 07:03 10 773 13

AFU counterattacked Russians near Avdiivka Coke Plant and forced to retreat from two advanced positions - ISW Ukrainian forces counterattacked near Avdiivka on 5 December and recently made a confirmed advance. 06.12.23 06:13 7 559 10 Previously in trend: War

Russians are trying to find new ways to assault industrial zone of Avdiivka, they advanced in several places - ISW The occupants advanced west of the railway and north of Stepove. It is 3 km northwest of Avdiivka. 04.12.23 07:44 9 609 49

Russia is preparing "hybrid war" in Moldova: it wants to divert attention from Ukraine, - ISW Russia is trying to divert the world’s attention from the war in Ukraine. For this, the aggressor country plans to destabilize the internal situation in neighboring countries. 03.12.23 10:21 7 307 35

Kremlin "concerned" that failures in war in Ukraine could affect results of the elections in Russian Federation, - ISW The failures of the Russian army in the war in Ukraine may negatively affect the results of the Russian presidential election in 2024. 01.12.23 08:18 5 695 39 Previously in trend: War

Russian army is continuing offensive near Avdiivka and Staromaiorske in Donetsk region - ISW Russian troops advanced in the Avdiivka area over the past day, and confirmed an offensive near Staromayorske in Donetsk region. 01.12.23 09:03 10 979 37

AFU hold positions on the left bank of the Kherson region and transfer reinforcements, - ISW Ukrainian forces continue ground attacks on the left bank of the Kherson region. Ukrainian Armed Forces repel Russian assaults. 30.11.23 09:31 9 780 6 Previously in trend: War

Armed Forces of Ukraine conducted successful operations and advanced in west of Zaporizhzhia region, - ISW Units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine managed to advance in the west of the Zaporizhzhia region during a long offensive operation. 29.11.23 08:57 17 815 9

Enemy advances in six directions in Avdiivka region, - ISW The occupiers are currently advancing in six directions near Avdiivka in Donetsk Oblast, with heavy fighting taking place near the coke plant. 28.11.23 06:37 6 234 15 Previously in trend: War

Occupiers seized part of industrial zone in Avdiivka, - ISW Geo-location footage from 26 November indicates that Russian forces have made minor advances northwest of Krasnohorivka (7km northwest of Avdiivka) and in the eastern part of an industrial area on the southeastern outskirts of Avdiivka. 27.11.23 06:47 35 682 103

Occupiers continue their offensive in Avdiivka direction, - ISW The Armed Forces of Ukraine repelled Russian ground attacks in several sections of the Avdiivka direction. On November 25, Russian troops captured new positions near Avdiivka. 26.11.23 07:50 8 091 22 Previously in trend: War

Advantage in electronic warfare allowed AFU to successfully advance in Bakhmut area, - ISW Ukrainian systems of electronic warfare and aerial reconnaissance over the enemy contributed to the successful offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine south of Bakhmut in September 2023. 26.11.23 08:29 7 749 12 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russian army in Kupiansk direction has moved forward, is regrouping and intensifying its attacks, - ISW In the Kupiansk sector, Russian troops continued ground attacks along the Kupiansk-Svatove-Kreminna line and are completing the regrouping of forces. Geo-location footage shows Russian troops advancing east of Synkivka, so they may soon increase the pace of offensive operations in the area. 23.11.23 06:43 20 197 21 Previously in trend: War

Ukrainian defenders continue offensive despite the snow - ISW In the east and south, the Ukrainian Armed Forces continue offensive operations despite the rainy and snowy weather. 22.11.23 06:29 5 227 5

Armed Forces of Ukraine counterattacked near Avdiivka and advanced in Stepove area of Donetsk region, - ISW In the east and south of Ukraine, fighting continues despite rainy weather, which slows down the pace before the onset of winter conditions. 20.11.23 15:10 15 488 9 Previously in trend: War

Russian authorities are strengthening control over Internet and information space, - ISW In preparation for the 2024 presidential elections, the Russian Federation began to implement measures to limit citizens’ access to the Internet and strengthen control over the information space 19.11.23 09:21 2 652 14

Ukrainian Armed Forces have confirmed territorial advances near Robotyne - ISW Ukrainian troops continued offensive operations in the west of Zaporizhzhia region on November 16 and confirmed territorial advances near Robotyne on November 15. 17.11.23 15:20 11 836 7

Defense forces entrenched themselves on left bank of Kherson region, - ISW The Ukrainian military is conducting large-scale ground operations on the left bank of the Dnipro River. Defence forces managed to advance to Krynky. 15.11.23 07:20 17 324 25 Previously in trend: War

Due to loss of equipment and lack of trained personnel, Russian Federation increasingly relies on infantry during assaults, - ISW Due to the loss of equipment and the lack of properly trained personnel, the Russians increasingly count on "infantry frontal attacks" in the war against Ukraine. 12.11.23 08:26 4 002 41

Armed Forces of Ukraine cut Oleshky-Nova Kakhovka road, - ISW Ukrainian forces as of November 9 established continuous control of positions from the Antonivka Railway Bridge north of the Poima to the Antonivka Bridge north of Oleshky (7 km south of Kherson and 4 km from the Dripro River). 10.11.23 15:15 43 593 67

Russians continued offensive near Avdiivka and had partial success - ISW Ukrainian troops continued to conduct offensive operations in the Bakhmut direction and inflict losses on the enemy. Russian forces in the Avdiivka area lost 585 people over the past day, but they continue offensive operations in the area. 09.11.23 08:35 12 165 17 Previously in trend: War

Russia has increased production of missiles faster than expected - ISW The Russian military has increased its own stockpile of high-precision missiles faster than expected in previous forecasts. 07.11.23 08:50 38 607 108