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Stay informed with the latest ISW updates on regional conflicts involving the Russian Federation. Recent reports highlight significant military movements and strategic deployments by Russian forces in various sectors including Kursk, Vuhledar, and the Donetsk region. Key insights reveal tactics such as attempting to encircle Ukrainian forces and the continued push towards key Ukrainian positions. Despite setbacks, the Russian military persists with its operations across multiple frontlines, with ISW analysts providing critical evaluations of these maneuvers. Understand the implications of these movements on the broader geopolitical landscape through expert analysis. This tag page offers comprehensive coverage and strategic insights into ongoing military activities as reported by ISW.
TOP news ISW
Ukrainian forces took positions on left bank of Kherson region, - ISW Russian "militants" have provided enough geographically bound video footage and text messages that confirm that Ukrainian forces have taken up positions on the eastern bank of the Kherson region. 50 808 139 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine
Armed Forces of Ukraine cut Oleshky-Nova Kakhovka road, - ISW Ukrainian forces as of November 9 established continuous control of positions from the Antonivka Railway Bridge north of the Poima to the Antonivka Bridge north of Oleshky (7 km south of Kherson and 4 km from the Dripro River). 43 652 67
Russia has increased production of missiles faster than expected - ISW The Russian military has increased its own stockpile of high-precision missiles faster than expected in previous forecasts. 38 672 108
Occupiers are retreating from Kherson, preparing to blow up Kakhovka HPP dam, - ISW Russia probably continues to prepare an operation under a "foreign flag" regarding the destruction of the Kakhovka HPP dam, for which it intends to blame Ukraine. 36 171 87 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
Occupiers seized part of industrial zone in Avdiivka, - ISW Geo-location footage from 26 November indicates that Russian forces have made minor advances northwest of Krasnohorivka (7km northwest of Avdiivka) and in the eastern part of an industrial area on the southeastern outskirts of Avdiivka. 35 739 103
For two weeks, Russians have not been able to knock out group of 70 soldiers of Armed Forces of Ukraine from under Antonivsky bridge, - ISW The Russian military has been unable to dislodge a small group of Ukrainian soldiers from their fortified positions under the eastern span of the Antonivsky Bridge for almost two weeks. 32 817 82 Previously in trend: War
Russians in area of Bakhmut found themselves in dangerous situation, - ISW The Russian armed forces, having taken Bakhmut, found themselves in a dangerous situation there, but Russian propaganda and military bloggers hardly talk about it, instead celebrating the victory. 31 612 75 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine
"RVC" and Legion "Freedom of Russia" continue operation in Belgorod region, - ISW Units of the Russian Volunteer Corps (RVC) and the Legion of Freedom of Russia (LSR), which launched an operation in the Belgorod region, could have moved closer to the border with Ukraine after a military clash with Russian troops. 31 183 72
Attack on Black Sea frigate near Sevastopol could have been carried out by Ukraine, it would have been restrained response to large-scale bombing of civilian objects by Russia, - ISW The attack on the "Gryhorovych" class frigate of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation near Sevastopol was probably carried out by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. However, this is only a restrained response to the bombing of Ukrainian cities. 31 085 108 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
Russians used new long-range Italmas drones first time, - ISW During the drone attack on the Kyiv region, the Russian invaders used new long-range Italmas drones and their derivatives for the first time in Ukraine. 28 750 76
Occupiers advanced to treatment facilities of Avdiivka, - ISW On 8 December, Russian troops conducted offensive operations near Avdiivka, Donetsk region. 28 737 37 Previously in trend: War
Russian army reduced pace of offensive near Bakhmut after strike of AFU, - ISW Russian forces reduced the pace of their offensive operations near Bakhmut on October 29. 24 456 51 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
Offensive of Russian Federation is approaching its climax, - ISW American analysts suggest that Russia’s offensive in Donbas may be approaching its climax, and Ukraine has the opportunity to seize the initiative and launch a counteroffensive. 23 789 32 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
AFU achieved local success in Zaporizhzhia region - ISW During counterattacks southwest and southeast of Orikhiv, Zaporizhzhia region, Ukrainian forces achieved localised success, according to geolocation footage from 10 June 23 639 24 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine
Kremlin is unlikely to support Prigozhin, uprising will not be successful, - ISW The founder of the "Wagner" PMC, Yevgeny Prigozhin, has launched an armed uprising in an attempt to escape and change the leadership of the Russian Defence Ministry. But the Kremlin is unlikely to support him. 23 544 124 Previously in trend: Prigozhin's uprising
Russian offensive has begun in Luhansk region, but Ukrainian forces are preventing enemy from making significant progress, - ISW The pace of Russian operations along the Svatove-Kreminna line in the west of the Luhansk region has increased over the past week. 23 023 24 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
Russians have captured administration of Bakhmut and are advancing into center of city, - ISW Russian mercenaries from PMC "Wagner" seized the building of the city administration of Bakhmut. They are advancing towards the center of the city. 22 977 79 Previously in trend: War
Russian army in Kupiansk direction has moved forward, is regrouping and intensifying its attacks, - ISW In the Kupiansk sector, Russian troops continued ground attacks along the Kupiansk-Svatove-Kreminna line and are completing the regrouping of forces. Geo-location footage shows Russian troops advancing east of Synkivka, so they may soon increase the pace of offensive operations in the area. 20 230 21 Previously in trend: War
Armed Forces of Ukraine carried out limited raid across Dnipro and landed on left bank of Kherson region, - ISW Ukrainian troops raided the left bank of the Dnipro River in the Kherson region and allegedly broke through the defences 800 metres deep and returned 19 913 62 Previously in trend: War
Russian army has allegedly captured positions in Zaporizhzhia region, which Ukrainians repelled during summer counteroffensive, - ISW Russian troops have recently advanced in the west of the Zaporizhzhia region. Ukrainian forces withdrew to more defensible positions near Robotyne for the winter. 19 754 28
AFU are conducting counteroffensive in four directions, - ISW The defence forces continue to advance near Bakhmut and have made some progress in the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions. 19 212 35 Previously in trend: War
Putin is creating conditions for protracted war of aggression in Ukraine, - ISW American analysts are convinced that Russian President Vladimir Putin is creating the conditions for a protracted war of aggression in Ukraine. 19 051 85 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
AFU are approaching next line of defense of Russians in south, - ISW The defence forces have made further tactically significant gains in the western part of Zaporizhzhia region, and are likely to advance through the most difficult series of defensive positions of the Russian occupiers. 18 960 31 Previously in trend: War
Putin is losing control over Russian information space, internal struggle is going on in Kremlin - ISW An internal confrontation is taking place between key members of Russian dictator Vladimir Putin’s inner circle. 18 797 63 Previously in trend: War
Pace of offensive operations in east of Ukraine will increase in coming weeks, - ISW American analysts are convinced that the overall pace of military operations in eastern Ukraine is likely to increase in the coming weeks. 18 699 22 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
Due to ineffective sanctions, Kremlin managed to provide UAV production plant with parts, - ISW The ineffectiveness of Western sanctions against Iran and the Russian Federation probably contributed to the fact that the Kremlin was able to purchase components for attack drones in the United States. 18 272 74 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
Russian army continues its offensive in Avdiivka direction and has successes in Stepove area - ISW Russian troops continued offensive operations in the Avdiivka sector on 14 December, making confirmed advances. 18 214 53
AFU should continue counteroffensive, taking advantage of Putin’s mistake, - ISW The AFU should take advantage of the mistake of the president of the aggressor country, Vladimir Putin, who "drives" his troops to conduct offensive actions, analysts of the Institute for the Study of War believe. 18 125 28 Previously in trend: War
Armed Forces of Ukraine conducted successful operations and advanced in west of Zaporizhzhia region, - ISW Units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine managed to advance in the west of the Zaporizhzhia region during a long offensive operation. 17 837 9
Troops of Russian Federation are interested in blowing up Kakhovka HPP, - ISW The balance of evidence, arguments and rhetoric indicates that Russia deliberately damaged the hydroelectric power station. 17 491 57 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
Defense forces entrenched themselves on left bank of Kherson region, - ISW The Ukrainian military is conducting large-scale ground operations on the left bank of the Dnipro River. Defence forces managed to advance to Krynky. 17 354 25 Previously in trend: War
Russian troops continue their offensive on Chasiv Yar and have made some progress: There are virtually no surviving residential buildings in town Russian occupation forces have advanced east of the town of Chasiv Yar in Donetsk region. 17 130 71 Previously in trend: War
AFU intercepted tactical initiative in Bakhmut area, - ISW Ukrainian troops seized the tactical initiative and achieved tactically significant successes in the area of Bakhmut during counter-offensive operations on 18 May. 16 665 36 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine
Armed Forces successfully counterattacked Russians near Avdiivka, - ISW Defenders of Ukraine conducted a successful counterattack near Avdiivka in Donetsk region, advancing close to the settlement. 15 983 10 Previously in trend: War
Russian Army will intensify its offensive in early 2024 - ISW In January-February 2024, weather conditions will become more favourable for the movement of armoured vehicles, making it easier for the occupiers to conduct offensive operations. 15 938 34 Previously in trend: War
Russian authorities do not know how to react to situation in Belgorod region, - ISW Another raid by the Russian Volunteer Corps (RVC) and the Legion of Freedom of Russia (LFR) shows that the Kremlin does not understand how to respond to the situation. In addition, this has caused chaos in the Russian information space, and criticism of the Russian authorities is growing. 15 926 47
Russian occupiers will almost certainly accuse Ukraine of undermining Kakhovka HPP dam, - ISW The Russian occupiers will try to blow up the dam of the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (HPP) and blame Ukraine for the blow-up. 15 749 48 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
Armed Forces of Ukraine counterattacked near Avdiivka and advanced in Stepove area of Donetsk region, - ISW In the east and south of Ukraine, fighting continues despite rainy weather, which slows down the pace before the onset of winter conditions. 15 515 9 Previously in trend: War
Russian troops slow down offensive near Bakhmut, - ISW The advance of Russian troops in the area of Bakhmut has slowed down in recent days. Russian troops have admitted that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have pushed back the Wagner group to the positions they held a few days ago. 15 413 22 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
Putin is not interested in truce with Ukraine and is trying to disrupt military aid, - ISW Although Russian President Vladimir Putin reports an apparent interest in a ceasefire, such rhetoric is in the interests of the Russian Federation and is aimed at delaying and preventing further Western military aid to Ukraine. 15 351 122 Previously in trend: War
Russia probably signed contract with Iran for supply of "Arash-2" drones, - ISW Russia could agree with Iran on the delivery of "Arash-2" drones. 14 348 33 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
Military of Iran takes direct part in attacks of Russian Federation on civilian objects of Ukraine, - ISW Moscow continues to use its relations with Tehran to provide military support to Ukraine. Iranian personnel directly help attack civilian infrastructure in Ukraine. 13 925 30 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War
Capture of Bakhmut on Russian TV is shown almost like capture of Berlin, - ISW Russia’s reaction to the alleged capture of Bakhmut shows a growing disconnect between the Kremlin’s internal presentation of the war and the coverage of Russian operations in Ukraine by the military blogging community. 13 914 46 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine
Instead of capturing Bakhmut, Russians are now preparing for counteroffensive of AFU, - ISW The priorities of the Russian Ministry of Defence have changed. Now, the main thing for the Russians is not the capture of Bakhmut, but preparations for a counter-offensive by the Defence Forces. 13 857 21 Previously in trend: War
Putin did not offer to negotiate with Ukraine, - ISW Russian dictator Vladimir Putin did not offer to hold talks with Ukraine on December 25, contrary to some reports. 13 404 17 Previously in trend: War
Russia resorts to ethnic cleansing in Ukraine - ISW Russia’s actions in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine, reported by Russian officials, fall under the definition of ethnic cleansing. 13 362 16 Previously in trend: War
ISW assessed probability of terrorist attack on ZNPP and named scenarios that occupiers may resort to The Russians are unlikely to deliberately create an accident at Zaporizhzhia NPP, as they will not be able to control its consequences. However, the experience with the Kakhovka HPP shows that the occupiers may resort to such a terrorist attack. 13 287 23 Previously in trend: War
Russia is creating conditions for offensive to begin in coming months, - ISW Russia is creating conditions for the start of offensive actions in the coming months. Probably, this scenario will be deployed in the Luhansk region. 12 990 15 Previously in trend: War
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