intelligence

Russian army is conducting offensive on three areas of the front with heavy losses, - British intelligence The Russian army continues to develop several offensive directions in the east of Ukraine: Vuhledar, Kreminna, and Bakhmut. 20.02.23 09:08 5 543 2 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russian Federation is launching balloons to wear down Ukrainian air defense forces - British intelligence The objects that have been spotted over the past week in the airspace of Ukraine, as well as Moldova, are most likely part of a new Russian tactic to wear out Ukrainian air defenses. 19.02.23 10:01 4 911 58 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russia has amassed aviation 200 km from border, may use it in Donbas offensive - DIU Russia has amassed hundreds of airplanes and helicopters at air bases in western Russia, but a massive air strike on Kyiv is unlikely. However, Russia could use these planes and helicopters for an offensive in Donbas. 18.02.23 22:34 8 865 49 Previously in trend: War

Belarusians are trying to refrain from participating in war against Ukraine, but military will be forced to obey Lukashenko’s orders, - Defence Intelligence The military intelligence of Ukraine monitors Russian troops on the territory of Belarus around the clock and the terrorist country’s attempts to fully involve Belarusians in the war against Ukraine. 18.02.23 13:36 6 073 37 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Kremlin is preparing terrorist attacks in Russia - Polish intelligence New narratives have emerged in Russian propaganda that give reason to fear that Russian special services are preparing "false flag" provocations inside Russia. 16.02.23 22:25 16 147 46 Previously in trend: War

With official events on occasion of anniversary of war, Russian authorities will start new wave of mobilization, - representative of Defense Intelligence Yusov A number of official events are planned in Russia until February 24. With them, the Kremlin will try to fuel propaganda on the eve of a new wave of mobilization. 15.02.23 15:15 6 699 11 Previously in trend: Mobilization in Russian Federation

Russians understand that offensive of AFU is inevitable and are trying to defeat it - Defence Intelligence The current intensification of the Russian occupation forces should not be compared with the full-scale invasion that took place in early 2022. 15.02.23 09:13 4 499 6 Previously in trend: War

Russia will become even more authoritarian and militarized country, - Norwegian intelligence Norwegian intelligence believes that Russia will become an even more authoritarian and militarized country in the coming years. 13.02.23 19:15 7 549 39 Previously in trend: War

Over past two weeks, Russia has probably suffered its worst losses since start of full-scale invasion - British intelligence On average, over the past week, the number of liquidated occupiers was 824 per day. This is four times more than in June-July 2022. 12.02.23 09:49 13 903 53 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

"They sent us to our deaths": Russian occupier told his wife about failed offensive - DIU interception. AUDIO Russian occupier spoke about an unsuccessful offensive of Russian troops and how deaths caused by his own troops were written off in favor of Ukrainian Armed Forces. 11.02.23 22:35 17 144 74 Previously in trend: War

Russia does not have resources to launch large-scale offensive on February 24, - Defence Intelligence The Russian command does not have sufficient resources for a large-scale offensive before the anniversary of the full-scale invasion on February 24. 11.02.23 12:02 10 275 62 War in Ukraine

Putin must conduct new mobilization or curtail task, - British intelligence Russian dictator Vladimir Putin is faced with a choice - to deplete the army, curtail the tasks of the war or continue mobilization. 11.02.23 11:06 15 596 49 Previously in trend: War

Russia has serious problems with ammunition - Canadian intelligence Despite Russia’s claims of an alleged shortage of ammunition in the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in reality the Russian invaders have significant supply problems of their own. 11.02.23 07:33 13 745 18 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russian missile blitzkrieg failed, - Defense Intelligence The Russian missile blitzkrieg has failed, but the enemy will continue to strike. 09.02.23 17:04 14 833 31 Previously in trend: War

Currently, more than 300 thousand Russian invaders are fighting on territory of Ukraine, - intelligence The Russian army deployed on the territory of Ukraine consists of more than 300,000 occupiers. The mobilized Russians are a danger, despite their poor training. 09.02.23 14:59 2 920 7 Previously in trend: War Mobilization in Russian Federation

Shoigu lies about non-existent successes of occupiers and intensifies conflict with Prigozhin, - Defence Intelligence Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation Serhii Shoigu attributes non-existent victories to the Russian army and belittles the role of the "Wagner" PMC in the conduct of hostilities. 07.02.23 19:46 7 941 14 Previously in trend: War

Russia has used approximately 660 Shahed drones and is waiting for new delivery, - Skibitsky The Russian Federation has problems with drones. To date, they have used approximately 660 Shahed drones. 06.02.23 12:57 2 274 11 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Intelligence analyzes all information to understand state of affairs of defense-industrial complex of Russian Federation, - Skibitsky Ukrainian intelligence analyzes cyberspace to understand the state of affairs in Russia’s defense-industrial complex. 06.02.23 11:51 2 113 8 Previously in trend: War

"Nobody really gives a f##k, you know? You’re going to die, and nobody gives a f##k," - a Russian occupier about commanders’ attitude to subordinates. AUDIO Ukrainian Defence Intelligence released a fragment of a conversation between an occupier and his wife, where they discuss commanders’ attitudes toward Russian soldiers. 05.02.23 20:23 7 499 22 War in Ukraine

Bakhmut becomes increasingly isolated for Ukrainian forces - British intelligence Over the past week, Russia has continued to take small steps forward in its attempt to encircle Bakhmut. 05.02.23 09:58 44 628 162 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

Occupiers intensified reconnaissance in waters of Black Sea and in southern territories of Ukraine, - OC "South" The Russian invaders are collecting intelligence information in the waters of the Black Sea and in the southern territories of Ukraine with the help of UAVs. 04.02.23 14:00 2 397 1 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russians are trying to fulfill Putin’s order to fully occupy Donbas by March. They do not count losses - Defence Intelligence The intensity of fighting in the east of Ukraine is an attempt to realize Putin’s goal of seizing Ukraine’s eastern regions. 03.02.23 12:49 5 285 9 Previously in trend: War

So far, supply of Iranian ballistic missiles to Russia has not been recorded, - Defence Intelligence So far, the Defence Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense has not recorded the facts of the supply of Iranian ballistic missiles to Russia. 02.02.23 16:56 1 027 8 Previously in trend: War

Putin ordered to seize Donbas by March. Occupiers are preparing for new offensive, - Defense Intelligence There are signs that Russia is preparing for a new attempt at a massive offensive and seizure of eastern Ukraine. 02.02.23 09:26 20 796 52 Previously in trend: War

Fierce fighting will take place during February and March, Ukraine is on eve of very active phase at front, - Defence Intelligence of Ministry of Defense Ukrainian defenders know how to fight with skills, unlike the Russians, who try to take numbers. 01.02.23 10:32 6 823 21 Previously in trend: War

Budanov survived at least 10 assassination attempts, - Washington Post At least 10 attempts were made against the head of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense, Kyrylo Budanov. 31.01.23 13:46 9 823 113 Incidents

Russia seeks to develop new line of attack in Donetsk region to divert Ukrainian forces from Bakhmut sector, - British intelligence Russian troops advanced several hundred meters near Vuhledar. However, despite certain successes, the occupiers do not have the strength to break through. 31.01.23 09:21 2 444 5 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

"I curse myself for coming here, for fuck’s sake," an intercepted conversation of Russian occupier. AUDIO A soldier of 27th motorized rifle brigade of Russian Federation complained to his comrade about losses among personnel and panic in newly arrived soldiers. 28.01.23 20:26 13 343 26 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russians are preparing a special operation to discredit Ukraine’s military and political leadership - Intelligence According to Ukrainian intelligence, a large-scale information and psychological special operation may be launched in near future to discredit a number of representatives of Ukrainian military and political leadership. 27.01.23 20:14 31 039 319 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Russians have shortage of junior commanders, personnel problems will only increase, - Defence Intelligence Russia has serious problems with commanders at the platoon or company level. The frontline units of the occupying forces are missing approximately 40 percent of their junior commanders. 27.01.23 11:08 2 986 22 Previously in trend: War

"If we get to Engels, we’ll get to Kremlin," - representative of Defense Intelligence Skibitsky The Defense Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine confirmed that the Kremlin is in the zone of damage by the means of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. That is why they started deploying air defense systems in Moscow. 25.01.23 14:35 6 457 32 Previously in trend: War

DIU special unit with support of Ukrainian Armed Forces conducts night reconnaissance raid in Nova Kakhovka area. VIDEO&PHOTOS On night of January 23-24, a special task force of Defence Intelligence of Ukraine with participation of AFU conducted a reconnaissance raid into occupants’ rear in Nova Kakhovka area. 24.01.23 21:34 25 853 25 Previously in trend: War

Rumors of alleged misunderstanding between heads of Defense Intelligence and Security Service are hostile narratives, - Defense Intelligence All Ukrainian power structures are united in their desire to protect Ukraine from armed aggression and work in close cooperation. 23.01.23 16:18 3 973 59 Previously in trend: War

Heads of SSU and Defense Intelligence Maliuk and Budanov discussed future special operations: new surprises await occupiers. PHOTO The heads of the SSU and the Defense Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense discussed future special operations that will bring Ukraine closer to victory. 23.01.23 15:10 8 532 32 Previously in trend: War

It is too early to talk about complete turning point in war, but 2023 is year of our victory, - Skibitsky Currently, it is too early to talk about a complete turning point in the war in favor of Ukraine, but the situation will change, and 2023 will be the year of our Victory. 23.01.23 14:24 4 874 24 Previously in trend: War

Russian military has reached operational impasse, - British intelligence General Valery Gerasimov, Russia’s Chief of General Staff and newly appointed Commander-in-Chief in Ukraine, probably began his activities with a desire to improve the day-to-day discipline of deployed troops. 23.01.23 09:46 16 048 18 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

"They just placed everyone in the old vocational school and that’s it, fight as you wish": Russian occupier told his comrade what really happened in Makiivka - DIU interception. AUDIO A Russian occupier accused his leadership of elimination of Russian military in Makiivka on New Year’s Eve. He complained that occupiers were stationed too close to frontline. 22.01.23 23:08 12 793 26 Previously in trend: War

Kireev was full-time employee of Defence Intelligence, I know very well all people who executed him in SSU car, - Budanov Kyrylo Budanov, head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications of Ukraine, said that he knows "all the people who executed" Denys Kireev, a banker, a full-time employee of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, and a participant in the Ukrainian-Russian negotiations in Belarus. 22.01.23 11:31 40 293 185 Ukrainian Politics

Leadership of Russian Federation plans to reform army due to possible military threat even after war with Ukraine, - British intelligence The Russian leadership conceived the reform of the army because of a possible military threat in the future. However, it will be difficult for the Russian Federation to recruit new troops. 22.01.23 09:29 4 758 20 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine War

Spring and early summer will be decisive in war. If big offensive of Russian Federation fails, it will be downfall of Russia and Putin, - Skibitsky Tough and decisive battles await Donetsk and Luhansk regions. 22.01.23 10:13 17 783 84 Previously in trend: War

Leopard will be delivered to Ukraine. Consensus has already been formed. There is discussion on public presentation of this, - Intelligence Ukraine will receive Leopard tanks. However, at this stage, negotiations are underway on how to publicly present this information. 21.01.23 23:34 27 123 85 Previously in trend: Aid to Ukraine War

Defense Intelligence on Milli’s prediction of difficulty of winning war in 2023: Ratings remain unchanged. We can indeed liberate our lands Ukrainian intelligence estimates about the possibility of winning the war in 2023 remain unchanged, and Ukraine has a sober and adequate understanding of the situation and its capabilities. 21.01.23 18:48 6 893 41 Previously in trend: War

Defense Intelligence explained what preparation of Russian Federation for long war means: "Putin’s goals remain unchanged - genocide and destruction of Ukrainian state" Preparing for a long war, the Russian Federation realizes the failure of its plan to quickly seize Ukraine. 21.01.23 18:01 4 187 27 Previously in trend: War

Raising topic of threat of attack by Belarus is psychological pressure on Russian Federation, - Defense Intelligence Raising the topic of the threat of an attack on Ukraine by Belarus is a Russian information and psychological operation (IPSO). 21.01.23 17:22 3 182 46 Previously in trend: War

Russia has no resources for offensive in Zaporizhzhia region - Canadian intelligence The human and material resources available to Russia are insufficient for an effective offensive in Zaporizhzhia region. 20.01.23 21:51 6 062 30 Previously in trend: War

German intelligence is concerned about Ukraine’s daily "triple-digit" losses in battles for Bakhmut, - Spiegel The German Federal Intelligence Service (BND) is concerned with the big loss of the Ukrainian army in the battles for the city of Bakhmut. 20.01.23 16:14 70 332 241 Previously in trend: War

Number of PMC "Wagner" on Russian-Ukrainian front reaches 50 thousand people, - British intelligence PVK "Wagner" became a key component of the Russian campaign. Its number in Ukraine is, most likely, 50 thousand fighters. 20.01.23 09:29 5 274 19 Previously in trend: Russian aggression against Ukraine

Russian army suffers from lack of ammunition and morale, while Ukraine needs military and economic assistance, - US intelligence chief Gaines Russia has faced significant challenges: ammunition, supplies, morale, exhaustion, and some discord in the leadership. 18.01.23 22:58 5 009 23 Previously in trend: War