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In 2025, intelligence has become essential in understanding the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia. Estonian intelligence reports indicate Russia's persistent military operations and reluctance for peace negotiations. In a strategic move, Ukrainian forces utilize unmanned systems for intelligence gathering, marking significant advancements in surveillance capabilities. Meanwhile, British intelligence observes the introduction of Russia's nuclear-capable missiles on advanced fighter jets. The U.S. continues to support Ukraine with key intelligence, despite reducing direct military aid. Europe’s involvement is growing, with commitments to enhance intelligence sharing with Ukraine. These intelligence-led strategies are reshaping the geopolitics of the region and influencing global diplomatic alignment.

How does intelligence impact the Ukraine-Russia conflict?

Intelligence plays a crucial role in the Ukraine-Russia conflict by providing key insights into military strategies and geopolitical maneuvers. Through intelligence, Ukraine gains access to vital information that informs defense tactics and diplomatic actions. Western allies, such as the United States and the UK, provide Ukraine with satellite data and real-time analysis which are instrumental in countering Russian advances. The focus on intelligence has led to improvements in surveillance and the ability to predict enemy movements, ultimately shaping the course of the conflict.

What are the latest developments in Russian military strategy as per intelligence reports?

Recent intelligence reports indicate that Russia is intensifying its military efforts in Ukraine without showing readiness for peace talks. Estonian intelligence reveals active hostilities with a significant number of attacks concentrated in the Donetsk region, while British intelligence notes the deployment of nuclear-capable missiles on Russian fighter jets. This strategic military enhancement aims to maintain pressure on Ukraine and demonstrate Russia's commitment to achieving its objectives through force.

How is unmanned technology influencing intelligence operations in Ukraine?

Unmanned technology is revolutionizing intelligence operations in Ukraine by enhancing surveillance and reconnaissance capabilities. Units like the 27th Pechersk Brigade effectively deploy UAVs to monitor and strike Russian targets. This innovation allows for real-time intelligence gathering and precision in military strategies. The use of unmanned systems not only strengthens defense operations but also contributes to Ukraine’s ability to adapt quickly to changing battlefield dynamics, showcasing the pivotal role of technology in modern warfare.

What is the significance of Europe expanding intelligence support to Ukraine?

Europe’s expansion of intelligence support to Ukraine signifies a strengthening partnership aimed at enhancing Ukraine's defense capabilities. By sharing critical intelligence data and resources, European allies fill potential gaps left by the reduction of direct U.S. military aid. This support is crucial for Ukraine to maintain situational awareness and preparedness amid ongoing Russian aggression. It also underscores the broader European commitment to regional stability and their strategic interest in countering Russian influence in Eastern Europe.

How might the Middle East situation affect Russian drone attacks on Ukraine?

The Middle East situation could impact Russian drone attacks on Ukraine by potentially diverting resources and strategic focus. Estonian intelligence suggests that escalating tensions in the region might lead to a temporary reduction in drone deployments against Ukraine. This shift could provide Ukraine with a brief respite, allowing it to regroup and strengthen defenses. However, the strategic balance remains delicate, as any lasting effect on Russian military operations will largely depend on developments in the Middle East and Russian priorities.

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News intelligence

satellite US will provide Ukraine with intelligence for strikes deep inside Russia on energy infrastructure, - WSJ The United States will provide Ukraine with intelligence data for long-range missile strikes on Russia's energy infrastructure. 5 499 47 Previously in trend: US resumes intelligence sharing with Ukraine

Russians to pay taxes on income to fund the war Kremlin shifts war costs onto population – intelligence In Russia, the tax authorities are massively sending citizens notices to pay income tax on bank deposits for 2024. This measure is intended to offset budget losses caused by the full-scale war against Ukraine. 3 029 20 Previously in trend: Russia’s expenditure on war

Estonia Russia is not ready for peace talks and continues active hostilities - Estonian intelligence Russia shows no willingness to engage in peace talks with Ukraine and continues active military operations, according to Estonian intelligence. 535 5 Previously in trend: Peace negotiations

Unmanned Systems Forces Intelligence of Unmanned Systems Forces monitors enemy’s information space – USF Intelligence specialists of the Unmanned Systems Forces are monitoring the enemy’s information space. 1 570 5

Ukrainian military destroyed Russian "Zemledeliye" mine-laying vehicle "Zemledeliye" went for fertilisers: UAVs of 27th Pechersk Brigade eliminated enemy engineering complex on move. VIDEO Another minus in Russia's arsenal - and another plus in Ukraine's drone skills. In the Zaporizhzhia sector, a UAV strike unit of the 27th Pechersk Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine successfully eliminated the Russian remote mining system "Zemledeliye", the brigade's official telegram channel reports. 5 162 4 Previously in trend: Destruction of Russian equipment

Russia advances in Donbas, Ukraine holds back the enemy near Pokrovsk Russia has captured 330 sq. km in Ukraine, direction of main strike is Pokrovsk - Estonian intelligence In August, Russian troops captured about 330 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory, focusing their main attacks on the Donetsk region and the direction of Pokrovsk. The average number of attacks per day in August was about 158, and last week it was 163. 1 349 3 Previously in trend: Situation in the Pokrovsk direction

russia’s losses in 2024: more than 430,000 soldiers and thousands of pieces of equipment At current pace, it will take 4.4 years for Russia to seize 4 regions of Ukraine that Putin is talking about - British intelligence Based on the pace of Russia's advance on the battlefield in 2025, it will take Russian troops approximately 4.4 years to capture 100% of the territory of four Ukrainian regions (Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson). 2 028 27

Russian attacks in July Russia attacked Ukraine with record number of drones in July - about 6200 UAVs launched - British intelligence In July 2025, Russia launched about 6,200 drones at Ukraine. This was a new record for enemy attacks. 280 2 Previously in trend: Shelling of Ukraine

Russia strengthens air bases near the border with Ukraine Russia is building protected shelters for aircraft at air bases near border with Ukraine, - British intelligence. PHOTO The UK Ministry of Defence has published satellite images showing that Russia is building protected aircraft shelters at several airbases near the border with Ukraine. 4 719 8 Previously in trend: Russia strengthens airbases

For the first time, the Main Naval Parade was canceled in St. Petersburg due to "security measures" For first time, Russia cancele Navy Day parade for security reasons, - British intelligence For the first time, the Russian Navy Day parade has been completely canceled in Russia, most likely due to security measures. 2 801 17 Previously in trend: Russian Navy

liquidation Russian Army mobilized at least 28% of convicts from Southern District alone in four months - DIU In 4 months of 2025, the Southern Military District of the Russian Armed Forces lost at least 4,212 convicts killed out of more than 14,000 mobilized convicts. 1 059 6 Previously in trend: Destruction of the occupiers

Director of National Intelligence of the United States Tulsi Gabbard US National Intelligence Chief Gabbard confirms destruction of Iran’s nuclear facilities New intelligence data confirms that Iran's key nuclear facilities have been destroyed and their recovery will take years. 3 188 31 Previously in trend: US strikes on Iran The US has struck Iran’s nuclear facilities

Estonian Intelligence on the Russian Army Russia is unable to make operational breakthrough on any frontline, - Estonian intelligence The Russian army, which is waging an aggressive war in Ukraine, is unable to make a major breakthrough in eastern Ukraine, but will continue its ground offensive and air strikes, which are increasingly targeting civilian infrastructure. 1 965 15 Previously in trend: Situation at front

Ukrainian drones attacked Lipetsk region Estonian Intelligence: Russia may reduce number of drone attacks on Ukraine due to situation in Middle East The Estonian Defence Forces suggest that the number of Russian drone attacks on the regions of Ukraine may temporarily decrease due to the worsening situation in the Middle East. 2 062 17 Previously in trend: Drone attack on Ukraine

UK UK intelligence: Iran–Israel conflict poses both risks and benefits for Russia The recent escalation in the conflict between Israel and Iran presents both potential benefits and risks for Russia. 2 973 15 Previously in trend: Israeli attacks on Iran

Martin Jäger Germany’s ambassador to Ukraine Jäger tapped to run Germany’s foreign intelligence service The German government has appointed the current Ambassador to Ukraine, Martin Jäger, as the new head of the Federal Intelligence Service (BND). 932 1 Previously in trend: German intelligence

interception of an enemy drone Fighters of 210th Assault Regiment hacked enemy reconnaissance UAV and adjusted attack of their kamikaze drone on positions of occupiers. VIDEO Drone operators from the 210th Assault Regiment intercepted the control of an enemy reconnaissance UAV and used it to correct a kamikaze drone attack on a Russian army position. 6 949 6 Previously in trend: Unmanned technologies

Intelligence sharing – Zelenskyy on replacing US support Ukraine cannot compensate if US stops intelligence sharing – Zelenskyy Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that if the United States ceases intelligence sharing with Kyiv, Ukraine will not be able to compensate for the loss. Washington’s support remains vital during massive Russian attacks. 2 195 34 Previously in trend: Alternative to US intelligence

Jager Ambassador to Ukraine to become new head of German intelligence - Spiegel The Federal Intelligence Service of Germany (BND) is likely to be headed by diplomat Martin Jäger, who has been serving as Germany's ambassador to Ukraine since 2023. 1 669 10 Previously in trend: German intelligence

satellite US will reduce direct military aid to Ukraine but will maintain access to intelligence data, - Foreign Policy The Trump administration does not plan to stop the transfer of key intelligence data to the Ukrainian Armed Forces, including satellite data and the coordinates of important targets for long-range strikes. 11 367 109 Previously in trend: Alternative to US intelligence US resumes intelligence sharing with Ukraine

SSU Operation Pavutyna Ukraine is preparing new special operations in Russia’s rear like "Pavutyna" - WP Ukraine's intelligence services are preparing to conduct new complex operations in the deep rear on Russian territory, such as "Pavutyna". 7 286 55 Previously in trend: SSU special operation SSU Operation Pavutyna

gdp,taxes,economy,accounting Russia is hiding scale of economic downturn and squandering its remaining reserves, - FISU The Russian authorities are trying to hide the real scale of the economic downturn due to the war against Ukraine, using the remaining reserves to keep the economy going. 6 459 63 Previously in trend: State of Russian economy

UAV UK intelligence: Russia used over 900 strike drones in three nights of attacks between May 23 and 26 Russia launched its largest combined air attack against Ukraine since the start of the full-scale invasion, deploying over 900 strike drones during three consecutive nights of attacks between May 23 and 26. 698 9 Previously in trend: Enemy reconnaissance UAV activity

surovikin Russian General Surovikin is probably in Algeria - British intelligence Russian general Sergey Surovikin, who headed the Joint Forces Group in the war against Ukraine, is probably in Algeria. 2 194 13 Previously in trend: Surovikin sent to Algeria

putin Putin believes in Russia’s victory over Ukraine and is ready to fight until at least 2025 - US intelligence Russian dictator Vladimir Putin has probably not changed his goals in the war against Ukraine and is confident that he will be able to win the final victory. 10 322 125 Previously in trend: US intelligence on Putin plans

weapons, nuclear, tactical Russia is introducing nuclear aerial missile for MiGs and Su, - US intelligence Russia is deploying a new tactical nuclear-capable guided missile, which is being installed on MiG-31 and Su-30SM, Su-35S and Su-57 fighters. 5 816 38 Previously in trend: Nuclear weapons

Destruction of a Russian reconnaissance drone Minus five "Zala" drones and one "Supercam": combat work of anti-aircraft drone operators in Sumy region. VIDEO Operators of anti-aircraft drones from the PRIME unit shot down five Russian Zala reconnaissance drones and one Supercam in the Sumy region. 3 705 7 Previously in trend: Destruction of Russian equipment

Russian reconnaissance drones shot down overnight by air defense UAVs Enemy reconnaissance drones Merlin-VR and Supercam shot down by Signum air defense drone operators. VIDEO Drone operators from the Signum unit shot down two enemy night reconnaissance UAVs — Merlin-VR and Supercam. 1 908 3 Previously in trend: Enemy reconnaissance UAV activity

UAV Orlan Ruscists have increased reconnaissance activity on front line - OTG "Luhansk" Today, on May 9, 2025, Russian troops intensified reconnaissance activity on the contact line in the area of responsibility of the Luhansk operational and tactical group. 241 1 Previously in trend: Battles in the east of Ukraine

Hungarian intelligence agents spied in Zakarpattia. Details from SSU For first time in history, Hungarian military intelligence network has been exposed: they were spying in Zakarpattia, - SSU. VIDEO For the first time in the history of Ukraine, the Hungarian military intelligence network that spied in Ukraine was exposed. 25 319 95

afu British intelligence: Putin’s "truce" until May 9 is attempt to show readiness for negotiations without losses for Russia The UK Ministry of Defense commented on the Kremlin's unilateral announcement of a temporary ceasefire in the war against Ukraine for May 8-10. 1 678 11 Previously in trend: Putin announces truce for 9 May

anti-aircraft drone is attacking Russian UAV Warriors of DIU’s "Wings" unit shot down three enemy reconnaissance UAVs - one "Zala" and two "Supercam". VIDEO Drone operators of the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine's "Wings" unit shot down three enemy reconnaissance drones - one "Zala" and two "Supercam". 1 676 2 Previously in trend: Drones against occupiers

Media reports on Swedish Saab 340 AEW&C flying over Lviv Media reported that Swedish Saab 340 AEW&C aircraft had flown over Ukraine – OSINT projects have refuted claim On April 21, reports emerged that a Swedish Saab 340 AEW& C (ASC 890) reconnaissance aircraft had arrived in Ukraine and conducted a test flight over Lviv region. 6 640 33 Previously in trend: Sweden’s aid to Ukraine

Japan to provide Ukraine with another $3 billion from frozen Russian assets Japan to provide assistance to Ukrainian intelligence - media Ukraine wants to become independent from the United States of America in case Washington cuts off intelligence assistance again. 2 471 10 Previously in trend: Japan will help Ukrainian intelligence

Armed Forces Operation in Kursk Region becomes the main event for Russian residents in 2024 Ukrainian forces control 50 km² of Russia’s Kursk region – Estonian intelligence The Armed Forces of Ukraine remain present in part of Russia’s Kursk region — approximately 50 square kilometers. 1 296 8 Previously in trend: Combat operations in the Kursk region

British intelligence reports on the situation at the front in recent months Advance of Russian troops in Ukraine has slowed since beginning of year - British intelligence Since the beginning of this year, the advance of the Russian occupation forces in Ukraine has been slowing down, and the number of attacks has been decreasing. 971 3 Previously in trend: Situation at front Combat operations in the Pokrovsk direction

Zelenskyy Ukraine has agreed with Europe to expand access to intelligence – Zelenskyy At a meeting of the "coalition of the willing" in Paris on March 27, Ukraine reached an agreement to expand access to intelligence from European countries and to some ammunition depots. 957 8 Previously in trend: meeting of the coalition of the willing European intelligence for Ukraine

Zelenskyy Intelligence, satellite data, and peacekeepers: Zelenskyy outlines methods to monitor ceasefire compliance If a 30-day ceasefire agreement is reached with Russia, there are several ways to monitor compliance with the agreement. 845 10 Previously in trend: ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia

Ukrainian Armed Forces launch counterattack in Kursk region Ukrainian troops withdrawing from Russia’s Kursk region – Estonian intelligence Ukrainian units are carrying out an organized withdrawal from the Kursk region of the Russian Federation. 10 071 41 Previously in trend: Withdrawal of Defence Forces from Kursk Oblast

The US has restricted access to intelligence, but not all of it US has never restricted Ukraine’s access to defense intelligence, - Witkoff Donald Trump's Special Representative for the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, said that the United States restricted intelligence data necessary for Ukraine's defense. 3 385 30 Previously in trend: us suspends intelligence sharing to Ukraine

Situation near Pokrovsk British intelligence: Ukrainian forces carried out series of counterattacks near Pokrovsk In the area of Pokrovsk, where the main units of Russian troops are concentrated, Ukrainian forces carried out a series of counterattacks. 1 903 2 Previously in trend: Combat operations in the Kursk region Situation in the Pokrovsk direction

US may restore access to intelligence US almost resumes intelligence sharing with Ukraine - Trump US President Donald Trump has said that Washington may resume sharing intelligence with Ukraine. According to him, the United States is close to making such a decision. 15 324 140 Previously in trend: us suspends intelligence sharing to Ukraine

President of the German Federal Intelligence Service Bruno Kahl Putin’s real goal is new world order, and I hope US doesn’t want it, - German intelligence chief The real goal of Russian dictator Vladimir Putin is to create a new world order with the expansion of Russia's influence. 3 908 44

Ukraine continues to receive some intelligence from the United States US continues to share some intelligence with Ukraine – CNN The United States continues to provide Ukraine with certain intelligence that can help Ukrainian troops defend themselves rather than strike Russian occupiers. 2 363 9 Previously in trend: us suspends intelligence sharing to Ukraine

US Republicans call on Trump to resume support for Ukraine Republicans press Trump to resume military and intelligence aid to Ukraine – Hill Republican lawmakers are starting to urge President Trump to reverse his decisions to pause U.S. military and intelligence aid to Ukraine, warning that a prolonged stoppage of U.S. help for the war effort would have a seriously detrimental effect. 18 490 62 Previously in trend: President Trump us suspends intelligence sharing to Ukraine Suspension of aid from USA

John Brennan Former CIA Director Brennan: Trump’s decision to stop intelligence sharing with Ukraine is tactic of pressure and extortion Former CIA Director John Brennan said that the decision of the Donald Trump administration to stop sharing intelligence with Ukraine is "unprecedented" and could have "devastating consequences" for Kyiv. 3 386 33 Previously in trend: Trump suspends aid to Ukraine

Maxar Technologies disables access to satellite imagery for Ukraine Maxar disables access to its satellite photos for Ukraine - media Aerospace company Maxar Technologies has disabled access to its satellite imagery for Ukraine. 30 487 205 Previously in trend: us suspends intelligence sharing to Ukraine

Great Britain offered its intelligence to Ukraine Britain to continue supplying intelligence to Ukraine - Guardian The UK will continue to analyse the raw data, although it will not share information received from the US through long-standing data-sharing agreements between the two countries. 2 396 18 Previously in trend: us suspends intelligence sharing to Ukraine