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Recent developments involving the Foreign Intelligence Service have provided insights into Russia's geopolitical strategies. Norway's military intelligence confirmed that Russia tested the Burevestnik nuclear missile, showcasing Moscow's nuclear ambitions. Meanwhile, UK and Danish intelligence continue to highlight Russia's provocations towards NATO. In addition, Russian collaborations with North Korea and China reflect Moscow's strategic positioning, as evidenced by North Korean troops aiding in Ukrainian strikes and Russia's offering of non-existent aircraft engines to China. The Foreign Intelligence Service underscores the growing anti-migrant rhetoric in Russia, a tactic to divert attention from internal challenges and the ongoing war in Ukraine. These developments, analyzed by various intelligence services, paint a comprehensive picture of Russia's international maneuvers in 2025.

What is the focus of Norway's intelligence on Russia?

Norway's intelligence has focused on Russia's nuclear tests, specifically the recent testing of the Burevestnik long-range cruise missile launched from the Barents Sea. The emphasis is on understanding Russia's nuclear capabilities and technological advancements, which are part of a larger geopolitical strategy.

How is North Korea involved in Russia's military actions?

British intelligence reports that North Korean troops stationed in the Kursk region are aiding Russian military operations. They are assisting in reconnaissance and strike operations in Ukraine, showcasing a collaboration that defies international norms and contributes to ongoing regional instability.

What role does the Foreign Intelligence Service play in Russia-China relations?

The Foreign Intelligence Service reports that Russia offered China an aircraft engine that is only conceptual at this stage. This illustrates the complexities in Russia-China relations, where strategic alliances are announced, yet practical developments remain to be seen.

How is Russia using anti-migrant rhetoric internally?

The Russian regime is leveraging anti-migrant sentiment to distract the populace from domestic issues and the prolonged conflict in Ukraine. This tactic is a means to consolidate public opinion by externalizing internal problems and has been identified by the Foreign Intelligence Service as a key strategy.

What challenges is the Russian IT sector facing?

The Russian IT sector is grappling with a systemic crisis brought on by international sanctions and a significant brain drain. The loss of access to Western technology and talent migration is hindering the sector's growth prospects, as highlighted by the Foreign Intelligence Service.

What is the extent of Russian women's involvement in drone production?

According to the Foreign Intelligence Service, Russia is expanding its recruitment efforts for drone production by enlisting women from Africa, Asia, and Latin America. This move underscores an attempt to bypass domestic workforce shortages while expanding military production capabilities.

How is the Kremlin's reallocation of resources affecting small businesses?

The Kremlin's prioritization of military spending over domestic economic support has resulted in reduced state assistance for small businesses. This shift highlights the regime's focus on sustaining the war effort at the expense of internal economic stability, as observed by the Foreign Intelligence Service.

What are the implications of Iran's partnership with Belarus?

Following its conflict with Israel, Iran is seeking assistance from Belarus to rebuild its defense capabilities. The Foreign Intelligence Service notes that this partnership is less restricted by sanctions compared to Russian alternatives, which could enhance Iran's military restructuring efforts.

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News Foreign Intelligence Service

China Russia is becoming China’s resource base, while local communities are not receiving promised benefits, - Foreign Intelligence Service Russia is becoming increasingly economically dependent on China, effectively turning into its resource base. At the same time, local communities are increasingly failing to receive the promised benefits. 2 305 8 Previously in trend: China–Russia cooperation Ukraine Intelligence

Burevestnik missile - Norway confirms test by Russians Norway’s intelligence confirms Russia’s test of Burevestnik nuclear missile Norway's military intelligence said that last week Russia tested its new long-range cruise missile with a nuclear power plant "Burevestnik", which was launched from the Arctic archipelago of Novaya Zemlya in the Barents Sea. 6 514 81 Previously in trend: Nuclear weapons

North Korean military helps Russia in attacks on Ukraine North Korean troops are helping Russian army strike in Sumy region - British intelligence North Korean soldiers stationed in the Kursk region of Russia are involved in coordinating reconnaissance operations and helping to launch strikes on the territory of Ukraine. 1 349 7 Previously in trend: DPRK soldiers in the Kursk region

Denmark says Russia preparing more provocations against NATO Russia to step up provocations against NATO countries – Danish military intelligence  Denmark’s military intelligence service reported that Russia sees itself as a party to a hybrid conflict with NATO and engages in aggressive actions that have not yet escalated into direct armed confrontation. 626 6 Previously in trend: Possible Russian attack on NATO Hybrid Russian war Drones over Denmark

China, Russia Russia offers China airplane engine that does not exist - Foreign Intelligence Service Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov announced his readiness to supply China with a promising PD-26 aircraft engine for a long-range wide-body aircraft being developed in Beijing. However, this engine exists only on paper. 2 698 2 Previously in trend: China–Russia cooperation Ukraine Intelligence

migrants Russia ramps up anti-migrant rhetoric to distract from war – FISU The Russian regime is increasingly exploiting anti-migrant sentiment to divert public attention from the war against Ukraine and domestic problems. 1 922 5 Previously in trend: Ukraine Intelligence

technologies Russian IT sector in crisis due to sanctions and brain drain, - FISU The Russian IT industry found itself in a state of systemic crisis due to sanctions-induced isolation, loss of access to Western technologies, and a mass exodus of specialists. 837 1 Previously in trend: Ukraine Intelligence

Russians are trying to implement artificial intelligence in "shahids" to overcome Ukrainian air defense Russia recruits women from Africa, Asia, and Latin America for drone production, - Foreign Intelligence Service Russia is expanding its recruitment program for the production of strike drones, attracting young women from Africa, Asia, and Latin America. 777 16 Previously in trend: Ukraine Intelligence

The state of the Russian economy Kremlin cuts aid to small businesses, directs all resources to war - FISU In the first half of 2025, state support for small and medium-sized businesses in Russia fell by almost half, as the Kremlin's priority remains spending on the war against Ukraine. 1 787 5 Previously in trend: State of Russian economy

Iran seeks to rebuild its defense capabilities with the help of Minsk after the war with Israel Iran seeks help from Belarus to restore defense capabilities - FIS After the war with Israel, Iran is trying to rebuild its defense capabilities by turning to Belarus for help. Unlike Russia, Minsk is less restricted by sanctions and could become Tehran's partner. 1 333 11 Previously in trend: Belarus and Iran cooperation

grain Kremlin seizes grain business in Russia through debts and repressions, - FIS People close to Russian dictator Vladimir Putin are taking control of the Russian agricultural industry, particularly the grain sector. 1 553 5 Previously in trend: Ukraine Intelligence

1000 for 1000 POW swap. Zelenskyy held a meeting Zelenskyy appoints Roman Marchuk as Deputy Head of Foreign Intelligence Service – presidential decree President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy has appointed Roman Marchuk as Deputy Head of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine. 3 737 6 Previously in trend: Staff changes

Destruction of Russians in the Kharkiv sector Russia’s losses in Ukraine are largest since World War II: about 250,000 servicemen killed or missing - UK intelligence. INFOGRAPHICS Since the beginning of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Russia has suffered approximately one million losses among its military personnel - killed and wounded. 2 930 17 Previously in trend: Destruction of the occupiers

Russia wants to produce 2 million FPV drones by the end of 2025 Russia increases production of drones: plans to produce 2 million FPVs in 2025 with support from China - FIS Russia is catching up with Ukraine in drone production due to greater financial resources, production lines located far from the front line, and especially assistance from China. 2 058 30 Previously in trend: China–Russia cooperation

gdp,taxes,economy,accounting Russia is hiding scale of economic downturn and squandering its remaining reserves, - FISU The Russian authorities are trying to hide the real scale of the economic downturn due to the war against Ukraine, using the remaining reserves to keep the economy going. 6 470 63 Previously in trend: State of Russian economy

Putin on Crimea Putin is actively forming "new elite" among members of "SMO" - FISU Russian dictator Vladimir Putin is systematically depriving former oligarchs of their property and influence through repression, arrests and nationalization, forming a new political elite from the members of the so-called "SMO". 3 094 15 Previously in trend: Ukraine Intelligence

Iskander in Belarus Belarus does not have nuclear weapons, - Foreign Intelligence Service head Ivashchenko Belarus did not receive nuclear weapons from Russia. The aggressor country has only supplied the carriers. 1 958 6 Previously in trend: Nuclear weapons in Belarus

Russian government increasingly resembles gerontocracy Russian Federation increasingly resembles gerontocracy - British intelligence The age of most of the leaders of the Russian Federation exceeds the average life expectancy in the country. 8 522 45

Росія вигадала пропагандистський рух Побєда 9/45 за кордоном Russia promoting new propaganda movement "Victory 9/45" abroad – Foreign Intelligence Service The Kremlin is using the "Victory 9/45" propaganda movement as a new tool of hybrid influence. Its offices have already opened in several EU countries. 2 967 13 Previously in trend: 9th May in Russia Propagandist actions of Russia

Russian information attacks against Ukraine Russia is scaling up information operation against Ukraine: trying to show Kyiv’s unwillingness to negotiate peace to EU and US - Foreign Intelligence Service During the first five days of April, a new wave of information attacks directed against Ukraine was recorded. The focus of the Russian special services' actions is to promote accusations against the EU and the United States of Kyiv's alleged unwillingness to negotiate an end to the war. 1 363 19

Putin may use nuclear weapons - US intelligence assesses risk There is risk that Putin may use nuclear weapons against Ukraine – US intelligence The US intelligence community continues to see a risk that Russian dictator Vladimir Putin may resort to the use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine amid setbacks at the front. 20 806 167 Previously in trend: Nuclear weapons

Satellite images of the aftermath of the strike on Engels-2 airfield in the Saratov region of the Russian Federation British intelligence: Defense Forces’ strike on Engels is most successful in 2025 The significant losses suffered by Russian aviation after the strike on Engels airfield are likely to disrupt strike operations from the airfield in the short term. 6 442 10 Previously in trend: Strike on Russian airfield

How long will it take for Russian army to be ready for conflict with NATO In 3-5 years Russia can create potential that will be enough for limited actions against NATO - Lithuanian intelligence While Russia is at war in Ukraine, the threat of a conventional military conflict with Lithuania and NATO's eastern flank is low. However, in the medium and long term, the likelihood of a conventional military conflict between Russia and NATO will increase. 1 365 16 Previously in trend: Russian agression

Russia has found way to force mobilised to fight Russia is forcing mobilised to sign contracts with Ministry of Defence. Otherwise, their chances of survival are reduced to 10%, - British intelligence Russian military commanders are following the Kremlin's order and forcing men mobilised in 2022 to sign contracts with the Russian Ministry of Defence. Otherwise, they are promised to be sent to a ‘meat grinder’, where the survival rate is only 10-15%. 2 050 16 Previously in trend: Mobilization in Russian Federation

The United States has sent reconnaissance aircraft to the border with Mexico, which previously monitored Russia and China US sends reconnaissance planes to border with Mexico, which previously monitored Russia and China - media The Pentagon significantly strengthened intelligence missions along the Mexican border immediately after Donald Trump's inauguration. The border is patrolled by strategic reconnaissance aircraft that previously monitored the military activities of Russia and China. 3 055 52

North Korea sent thousands of workers to Russia in 2024 South Korean intelligence: DPRK sent thousands of workers to Russia last year despite UN Security Council ban In 2024, North Korea sent thousands of its workers to Russia despite a UN Security Council resolution against Pyongyang that prohibits it. 1 868 9

Russians seized less territory in January than in December Russia seized about 320 sq km of Ukraine in January - British intelligence The Russians seized less territory in January than in December, but still managed to advance. Russian troops occupied about 320 square kilometres compared to about 400 square kilometres in December 2024. 1 367 8

Wounded Russians return to front Russia is sending wounded with unhealed wounds, often on crutches, back to front - British intelligence Russia is massively returning wounded soldiers to the front without waiting for them to fully recover. Moreover, it is forcing them to perform combat missions. 2 572 20

British intelligence strikes oil depot in Engels Ukraine has strengthened its ability to strike targets on Russian territory - British intelligence Repeated strikes on the Engels oil depot indicate Ukraine's increased ability to hit targets in Russia. 2 243 7 Previously in trend: War

Russia’s losses in war against Ukraine almost doubled in 2024 In 2024, Russian army lost almost twice as many soldiers as in 2023, - British intelligence. INFOGRAPHICS Russian army losses in the war against Ukraine in 2024 reached 429,660 people, including dead and wounded. This is almost twice as many as the 252,940 losses in 2023. 1 660 12

Defence forces capture DPRK soldier for first time Defence forces capture first DPRK soldier - South Korean intelligence. PHOTO On Friday, 27 December, South Korean intelligence confirmed that Ukrainian troops had captured a wounded North Korean soldier in the Kursk sector. 23 286 46

shahed In November, Russia launched about 2.3 thousand drones in Ukraine - British intelligence The monthly number of Russian drones launched in Ukraine has been increasing throughout the year. 330 1

AFU strikes position of Russian S-400 anti-aircraft missile system Ukrainian Armed Forces destroyed elements of S-400 air defence system in Simferopol - British intelligence On 29 November 2024, the Armed Forces of Ukraine destroyed elements of the S-400 air defence system in Simferopol. 3 250 0

New record of losses for Russian army in November In November, average daily losses of Russian army in Ukraine reached new record - British intelligence In November, the average daily loss of the Russian occupation army amounted to 1523 people (killed and wounded). 1 920 1

Velyka Novosilka After Ukraine’s loss of Vuhledar, Russian army rapidly advanced to eastern flank of Velyka Novosilka - British intelligence Velyka Novosilka in the Donetsk region has become vulnerable to Russian attacks due to the loss of Vuhledar, 30 km to the east, in early October 2024. 6 742 13

Rebellion in Russian army Half million wounded: British intelligence assesses level of medicine in Russian army The scale of injuries among the Russian military at the front in Ukraine is straining the Russian military medical system at all levels of medical care. 3 514 11

Диктатор РФ Володимир Путін Russia has prepared "plan to divide" Ukraine into three parts and will try to pass it on to US - media. MAP Russia has developed a forecast of the development of the military-political situation in the world until 2045, which provides for the liquidation of Ukraine and its division into three parts. 40 936 200 Previously in trend: War

Росіяни тиснуть на Куп’янськ Russians increase pressure on Kupiansk - British intelligence Russian troops have reached the Oskil River, and the enemy group is gradually expanding south of Kupiansk. 1 091 3

шахеди Russia has increased production of kamikaze drones: Shahed raids will be constant - British intelligence In October, Russia launched 2,000 kamikaze drones against Ukraine, which is about 700 more than in September and a significant increase for the third month in a row. 7 567 28

Наступ РФ на Покровському напрямку South of Donetsk region remains priority for Russian army - British intelligence In the south of the Donetsk region, Russian troops have advanced in several areas along a 20 km wide front. This direction is a priority for the occupying army. 956 2

У РФ зростає кількість винесених вироків за держзраду Number of treason convictions in Russia has been increasing recently, - British intelligence Over the past nine years, the number of convictions on treason charges in Russia has reached its highest level. 646 4

КНДР відправила воювати проти України 20-річних солдатів та підлітків North Korea sent 20-year-old soldiers and teenagers to fight against Ukraine, South Korean intelligence North Korea has transferred 20-year-old soldiers and teenagers to Russia to take part in hostilities against Ukraine. 13 116 115 Previously in trend: War

Бої у Часовому Ярі 28 жовтня Russian army advances in Chasiv Yar area - British intelligence The invaders probably crossed the canal in the southern part of Chasiv Yar and approached the city's borders. 2 383 11

Росія та КНДР підписали угоду, яка передбачає допомогу в разі агресії Participation of DPRK troops in war will not change situation at front - Estonian intelligence Estonian intelligence believes that sending DPRK troops to participate in the war on the side of Russia will not change the situation at the front. 2 795 34 Previously in trend: War

Пожежа на нафтобазі у Феодосії Ukraine’s strikes on territory of occupied Crimea are increasingly reducing Russia’s military potential - British intelligence The Ukrainian Armed Forces' strikes on the occupied Crimea are gradually worsening Russia's military capabilities. Among the affected facilities are airfields, command centers and oil depots. 1 243 4

Розвідка Естонії про атаки України на військові склади РФ AFU strikes on Russian ammunition depots will deepen shortage of Russian ammunition - Estonian intelligence Ukraine's strikes on Russia's artillery ammunition depots will further deepen the shortage of ammunition for Russian troops. 1 130 11

У вересня щодня ліквідовали в середньому 1271 особу New record for average daily losses of Russians in Ukraine set in September - British intelligence In September 2024, the average daily losses of the Russian occupation army amounted to 1271 people (killed and wounded). This is a new record since the beginning of Russia's full-scale invasion. 2 879 13

РФ вдарила по цивільному судну з зерном у Чорному морі Russians may have mistakenly hit civilian grain carrier on its way from Odesa - British intelligence On September 12, Russians shot at the civilian grain carrier MV Aya, which was heading from Odesa to Egypt with 26 thousand tons of grain. It was probably done by accident. 4 938 41

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